In: Finance
The asking price of an acre of farm land is currently $1,050 per acre. The current net cash flow is $65 per acre, the investor's nominal cost of capital is 8.5% and the planning horizon is 20 years. The inflation rate of current returns is 3% and land values are 2%.
A. Evaluate the profitability (NPV) of the investment assuming no taxes and no debt financing.
B. Evaluate the profitability (NPV) of the investment assuming a tax rate of 25%.
C. Evaluate the profitability (NPV) of the investment assuming a tax rate of 25% and debt financing. Assume a 30% down payment, 8% interest rate, equal payment method and a 25 year amortization period.
D. Using the data from problem B. Find the maximum bid price the investor can afford to pay in order to earn an 8.5% rate of return. Also, find the maximum price for the conditions of problem C.
Answer - A
Statement showing Net Cash Flows (considering inflation)
Year |
Working / Notes |
Net Cash Flow ($ per acre) |
1 |
$65 |
65.00 |
2 |
$65 * 1.03 |
66.95 |
3 |
$66.95 * 1.03 |
68.96 |
4 |
$68.96 * 1.03 |
71.03 |
5 |
$71.03 * 1.03 |
73.16 |
6 |
$73.16 * 1.03 |
75.35 |
7 |
$75.35 * 1.03 |
77.61 |
8 |
$77.61 * 1.03 |
79.94 |
9 |
$79.94 * 1.03 |
82.34 |
10 |
$82.34 * 1.03 |
84.81 |
11 |
$84.81 * 1.03 |
87.35 |
12 |
$87.35 * 1.03 |
89.98 |
13 |
$89.98 * 1.03 |
92.67 |
14 |
$92.67 * 1.03 |
95.45 |
15 |
$95.45 * 1.03 |
98.32 |
16 |
$98.32 * 1.03 |
101.27 |
17 |
$101.27 * 1.03 |
104.31 |
18 |
$104.31 * 1.03 |
107.44 |
19 |
$107.44 * 1.03 |
110.66 |
20 |
$110.66 * 1.03 |
113.98 |
Statement showing Net Present Value
Amount ($ per acre)
Year |
Particulars |
Notes / Working |
Amount (A) |
Discount Factor @ 8.5% (B) |
Present Value (A * B) |
0 |
Cost of Farm Land |
per acre |
-1050.00 |
1 |
-1050.00 |
1 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
65.00 |
0.9217 |
59.91 |
2 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
66.95 |
0.8495 |
56.87 |
3 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
68.96 |
0.7829 |
53.99 |
4 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
71.03 |
0.7216 |
51.25 |
5 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
73.16 |
0.6650 |
48.65 |
6 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
75.35 |
0.6129 |
46.19 |
7 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
77.61 |
0.5649 |
43.85 |
8 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
79.94 |
0.5207 |
41.62 |
9 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
82.34 |
0.4799 |
39.51 |
10 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
84.81 |
0.4423 |
37.51 |
11 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
87.35 |
0.4076 |
35.61 |
12 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
89.98 |
0.3757 |
33.80 |
13 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
92.67 |
0.3463 |
32.09 |
14 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
95.45 |
0.3191 |
30.46 |
15 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
98.32 |
0.2941 |
28.92 |
16 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
101.27 |
0.2711 |
27.45 |
17 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
104.31 |
0.2499 |
26.06 |
18 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
107.44 |
0.2303 |
24.74 |
19 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
110.66 |
0.2122 |
23.49 |
20 |
Net Cash Flows |
calculated above |
113.98 |
0.1956 |
22.30 |
Net Present Value |
-285.72 |
Answer - B
Statement showing Cash Flows (after considering tax)
Amount ($ per acre)
Year |
Net Cash Flow (A) |
Depreciation (B) ($1,050 / 20) |
Tax (C ) [(A-B) * 25%] |
Cash Flow (A - C) |
1 |
65.00 |
52.50 |
3.13 |
61.88 |
2 |
66.95 |
52.50 |
3.61 |
63.34 |
3 |
68.96 |
52.50 |
4.11 |
64.84 |
4 |
71.03 |
52.50 |
4.63 |
66.40 |
5 |
73.16 |
52.50 |
5.16 |
67.99 |
6 |
75.35 |
52.50 |
5.71 |
69.64 |
7 |
77.61 |
52.50 |
6.28 |
71.34 |
8 |
79.94 |
52.50 |
6.86 |
73.08 |
9 |
82.34 |
52.50 |
7.46 |
74.88 |
10 |
84.81 |
52.50 |
8.08 |
76.73 |
11 |
87.35 |
52.50 |
8.71 |
78.64 |
12 |
89.98 |
52.50 |
9.37 |
80.61 |
13 |
92.67 |
52.50 |
10.04 |
82.63 |
14 |
95.45 |
52.50 |
10.74 |
84.72 |
15 |
98.32 |
52.50 |
11.45 |
86.86 |
16 |
101.27 |
52.50 |
12.19 |
89.08 |
17 |
104.31 |
52.50 |
12.95 |
91.35 |
18 |
107.44 |
52.50 |
13.73 |
93.70 |
19 |
110.66 |
52.50 |
14.54 |
96.12 |
20 |
113.98 |
52.50 |
15.37 |
98.61 |
Statement showing Net Present Value
Amount ($ per acre)
Year |
Particulars |
Notes / Working |
Amount (A) |
Discount Factor @ 8.5% (B) |
Present Value (A * B) |
0 |
Cost of Farm Land |
per acre |
-1050.00 |
1 |
-1050.00 |
1 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
61.88 |
0.9217 |
57.03 |
2 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
63.34 |
0.8495 |
53.80 |
3 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
64.84 |
0.7829 |
50.77 |
4 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
66.40 |
0.7216 |
47.91 |
5 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
67.99 |
0.6650 |
45.22 |
6 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
69.64 |
0.6129 |
42.69 |
7 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
71.34 |
0.5649 |
40.30 |
8 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
73.08 |
0.5207 |
38.05 |
9 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
74.88 |
0.4799 |
35.93 |
10 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
76.73 |
0.4423 |
33.94 |
11 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
78.64 |
0.4076 |
32.06 |
12 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
80.61 |
0.3757 |
30.28 |
13 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
82.63 |
0.3463 |
28.61 |
14 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
84.72 |
0.3191 |
27.04 |
15 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
86.86 |
0.2941 |
25.55 |
16 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
89.08 |
0.2711 |
24.15 |
17 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
91.35 |
0.2499 |
22.83 |
18 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
93.70 |
0.2303 |
21.58 |
19 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
96.12 |
0.2122 |
20.40 |
20 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
98.61 |
0.1956 |
19.29 |
Net Present Value |
-352.59 |
Answer - C
We have to first draw a debt repayment schedule for ascertaining the interest amount per annum.
Debt amount = $1,050 * 70% = $735
Let us assume that there are annual equal payments of $29.40 ($735 / 25 years) plus interest at the rate of 8%, since question is not certain about the frequency of payments in equal payment method and a 25 year amortization period.
Debt amortization schedule
Year |
Opening Loan Amount (A) |
Interest (B) [A * 8%] |
Principal Amount (C ) |
Payment Amount (D) [B + C] |
Closing Loan Amount (A + B - D ) |
1 |
735.00 |
58.80 |
29.40 |
88.20 |
705.60 |
2 |
705.60 |
56.45 |
29.40 |
85.85 |
676.20 |
3 |
676.20 |
54.10 |
29.40 |
83.50 |
646.80 |
4 |
646.80 |
51.74 |
29.40 |
81.14 |
617.40 |
5 |
617.40 |
49.39 |
29.40 |
78.79 |
588.00 |
6 |
588.00 |
47.04 |
29.40 |
76.44 |
558.60 |
7 |
558.60 |
44.69 |
29.40 |
74.09 |
529.20 |
8 |
529.20 |
42.34 |
29.40 |
71.74 |
499.80 |
9 |
499.80 |
39.98 |
29.40 |
69.38 |
470.40 |
10 |
470.40 |
37.63 |
29.40 |
67.03 |
441.00 |
11 |
441.00 |
35.28 |
29.40 |
64.68 |
411.60 |
12 |
411.60 |
32.93 |
29.40 |
62.33 |
382.20 |
13 |
382.20 |
30.58 |
29.40 |
59.98 |
352.80 |
14 |
352.80 |
28.22 |
29.40 |
57.62 |
323.40 |
15 |
323.40 |
25.87 |
29.40 |
55.27 |
294.00 |
16 |
294.00 |
23.52 |
29.40 |
52.92 |
264.60 |
17 |
264.60 |
21.17 |
29.40 |
50.57 |
235.20 |
18 |
235.20 |
18.82 |
29.40 |
48.22 |
205.80 |
19 |
205.80 |
16.46 |
29.40 |
45.86 |
176.40 |
20 |
176.40 |
14.11 |
29.40 |
43.51 |
147.00 |
21 |
147.00 |
11.76 |
29.40 |
41.16 |
117.60 |
22 |
117.60 |
9.41 |
29.40 |
38.81 |
88.20 |
23 |
88.20 |
7.06 |
29.40 |
36.46 |
58.80 |
24 |
58.80 |
4.70 |
29.40 |
34.10 |
29.40 |
25 |
29.40 |
2.35 |
29.40 |
31.75 |
0.00 |
Statement showing Cash Flows (after considering tax and debt financing)
Amount ($ per acre)
Year |
Net Cash Flow (A) |
Interest (B) |
Depreciation (C) ($1,050 / 20) |
Tax (D) [(A-B-C) * 25%] |
Cash Flow (A - B - C) |
1 |
65.00 |
58.80 |
52.50 |
-11.58 |
17.78 |
2 |
66.95 |
56.45 |
52.50 |
-10.50 |
21.00 |
3 |
68.96 |
54.10 |
52.50 |
-9.41 |
24.27 |
4 |
71.03 |
51.74 |
52.50 |
-8.30 |
27.59 |
5 |
73.16 |
49.39 |
52.50 |
-7.18 |
30.95 |
6 |
75.35 |
47.04 |
52.50 |
-6.05 |
34.36 |
7 |
77.61 |
44.69 |
52.50 |
-4.89 |
37.82 |
8 |
79.94 |
42.34 |
52.50 |
-3.72 |
41.33 |
9 |
82.34 |
39.98 |
52.50 |
-2.54 |
44.89 |
10 |
84.81 |
37.63 |
52.50 |
-1.33 |
48.51 |
11 |
87.35 |
35.28 |
52.50 |
-0.11 |
52.18 |
12 |
89.98 |
32.93 |
52.50 |
1.14 |
55.91 |
13 |
92.67 |
30.58 |
52.50 |
2.40 |
59.70 |
14 |
95.45 |
28.22 |
52.50 |
3.68 |
63.55 |
15 |
98.32 |
25.87 |
52.50 |
4.99 |
67.46 |
16 |
101.27 |
23.52 |
52.50 |
6.31 |
71.44 |
17 |
104.31 |
21.17 |
52.50 |
7.66 |
75.48 |
18 |
107.44 |
18.82 |
52.50 |
9.03 |
79.59 |
19 |
110.66 |
16.46 |
52.50 |
10.42 |
83.77 |
20 |
113.98 |
14.11 |
52.50 |
11.84 |
88.02 |
Statement showing Net Present Value
Amount ($ per acre)
Year |
Particulars |
Notes / Working |
Amount (A) |
Discount Factor @ 8.5% (B) |
Present Value (A * B) |
0 |
Down payment for Farm Land |
$1,050 * 30% |
-315.00 |
1 |
-315.00 |
1 to 20 |
Debt Principal payments |
$29.40 per annum |
-29.4 |
9.4633 |
-278.22 |
1 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
17.78 |
0.9217 |
16.38 |
2 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
21.00 |
0.8495 |
17.84 |
3 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
24.27 |
0.7829 |
19.00 |
4 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
27.59 |
0.7216 |
19.91 |
5 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
30.95 |
0.6650 |
20.58 |
6 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
34.36 |
0.6129 |
21.06 |
7 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
37.82 |
0.5649 |
21.36 |
8 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
41.33 |
0.5207 |
21.52 |
9 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
44.89 |
0.4799 |
21.54 |
10 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
48.51 |
0.4423 |
21.45 |
11 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
52.18 |
0.4076 |
21.27 |
12 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
55.91 |
0.3757 |
21.01 |
13 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
59.70 |
0.3463 |
20.67 |
14 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
63.55 |
0.3191 |
20.28 |
15 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
67.46 |
0.2941 |
19.84 |
16 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
71.44 |
0.2711 |
19.37 |
17 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
75.48 |
0.2499 |
18.86 |
18 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
79.59 |
0.2303 |
18.33 |
19 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
83.77 |
0.2122 |
17.78 |
20 |
Cash Flows |
calculated above |
88.02 |
0.1956 |
17.22 |
Net Present Value |
-197.94 |
Answer - D
Maximum bid price the investor can afford to pay in order to earn an 8.5% rate of return in Answer-B above is the sum of present value of all future cash flows of 20 years and that is $697.41 ($1,050 - $352.59) per acre.
Maximum bid price the investor can afford to pay in order to earn an 8.5% rate of return in Answer-C above is the sum of present value of all future cash flows of 20 years and that is $395.28 ($315 + $278.22 - $197.94) per acre.