In: Finance
1. The returns on shares of Laverne Corporation and Shirley Corporation are predicted under the following various economic conditions:
State of Economy | Return on Laverne | Return on Shirley |
Recession | -20% | -30% |
Stagnant | +0% | -5% |
Moderate Growth | +10% | +10% |
Boom | +30% | +65% |
Each economic state has a 25% probability of occurring.
What are the expected returns of each stock?
What are the variances of each stock?
What are the standard deviatiions of each stock?
Laverne | |||||
Scenario | Probability | Return | '=rate of return * probability | Actual return -expected return(A) | (A)^2* probability |
Recession | 0.25 | -20.00% | -5.00% | -25.00% | 0.015625 |
Stagnant | 0.25 | 0.00% | 0.00% | -5.00% | 0.000625 |
Moderate Growth | 0.25 | 10.00% | 2.50% | 5.00% | 0.000625 |
Boom | 0.25 | 30% | 7.50% | 25.00% | 0.015625 |
Expected return = | sum of weighted return = | 5.00% | Sum= variance = | 0.032500 | |
Standard deviation of Laverne | '=(sum)^(1/2) | 18.03% | |||
Shirley | |||||
Scenario | Probability | Return | '=rate of return * probability | Actual return -expected return(B) | (B)^2* probability |
Recession | 0.25 | -30% | -7.50% | -40.00% | 0.040000 |
Stagnant | 0.25 | -5% | -1.25% | -15.00% | 0.005625 |
Moderate Growth | 0.25 | 10% | 2.50% | 0.00% | 0.000000 |
Boom | 0.25 | 65% | 16.25% | 55.00% | 0.075625 |
Expected return = | sum of weighted return = | 10.00% | Sum= variance = | 0.121250 | |
Standard deviation of Shirley | '=(sum)^(1/2) | 34.82% | |||