In: Statistics and Probability
A professor of a introductory statistics class has stated that,
historically, the distribution of final exam grades in the course
resemble a normal distribution with a mean final exam mark of 60%
and a standard deviation of 9%.
(a) What is the probability that a randomly chosen final exam mark
in this course will be at least 75%?
(b) In order to pass this course, a student must have a final exam
mark of at least 50%. What proportion of students will not pass the
statistics final exam?
(c) The top 2% of students writing the final exam will receive a
letter grade of at least an A in the course. To four decimal
places, find the minimum final exam mark needed on the statistics
final to earn a letter grade of at least an A in the
course.
X: final exam grades in the course
X follows normal distribution with a mean final exam mark of 60% and a standard deviation of 9%.
(a) Probability that a randomly chosen final exam mark in this course will be at least 75% = P(X>75)
P(X>75)=1-P(X 75)
Z-score for 75 = (75-mean)/standard deviation = (75-60)/9 = 15/9 = 1.67
From standard normal tables,
P(Z1.67) = 0.9525
P(X 75) = P(Z1.67) = 0.9525
P(X>75)=1-P(X 75) = 1-0.9525=0.0475
Probability that a randomly chosen final exam mark in this course will be at least 75% = 0.0475
(b)
In order to pass this course,
a student must have a final exam mark of at least 50%.
Proportion of students will not pass the statistics final exam = Probability that a randomly chosen final exam mark in this course will be at least 50%= P(X>50)
P(X>50)=1-P(X 50)
Z-score for 50= (50-mean)/standard deviation = (50-60)/9 = -10/9 = -1.11
From standard normal tables,
P(Z-1.11) = 0.1335
P(X 50) = P(Z-1.11) = 0.1335
P(X>50)=1-P(X 50) = 1-0.1335 =0.8665
Proportion of students will not pass the statistics final exam = 0.8665
(c)
Let the XA : be the final exam mark needed on the statistics final to earn a letter grade of at least an A in the course
Top 2% of students writing the final exam will receive a letter grade of at least an A in the course i.e
P(X>XA) = 2/100 =0.02
P(X>XA) = 1-P(XXA) =0.02
P(XXA) = 1-0.02 =0.98
Let ZA be the Z-score for XA
P(ZZA) = P(XXA) = 0.98
From standard normal tables,
P(Z2.05) = 0.97980.98
ZA = 2.05;
ZA = (XA - 60)/9
2.05 = (XA -60)/9
XA = 60 + 9 x 2.05 = 60 + 18.45 = 78.45
Minimum final exam mark needed on the statistics final to earn a letter grade of at least an A in the course = 78.45