In: Statistics and Probability
An avid fan of early 2000's baseball wanted to test whether corked bats actually improved a baseball bat's hitting power to see if Mark McGuire was wrongfully removed from Backyard Baseball 2003. To do so, the researcher gathered 25 men together from his college campus and divided into two groups, Group A with 13 people and Group B with 12. Group A was given batting practice with corked bats whereas Group B used standard wood bats. Group A hit an average of 11.4 balls into the outfield with s = 2.2. Group B averaged hitting 9.7 balls into the outfield with s = 3.5. Assume the two groups are independent.
Rounding to three units, the lower bound, for a 95% confidence interval for ?μ1 - ?μ2 using conservative degrees of freedom would be:
Rounding to three units, the upper bound, for a 95% confidence interval for ?μ1 - ?μ2 using conservative degrees of freedom would be:
Given
Group A with 13 people and Group B with 12. Group A was given batting practice with corked bats whereas Group B used standard wood bats. Group A hit an average of 11.4 balls into the outfield with s = 2.2. Group B averaged hitting 9.7 balls into the outfield with s = 3.5.
Assume the two groups are independent.
Thus
n1 = 13 ; n2 = 12
= 11.4 ; = 9.7
s1 = 2.2 ; s2 = 3.5
95% confidence interval for μ1 - μ2 is given by
C.I = { ( - ) * S.E }
Calculation -
Standard Error S.E =
where sd2 =
=
sd2 = 192.83 / 23 = 8.383913
sd2 = 8.383913
Hence
S.E = = = 1.159127
Hence S.E = 1.159127
now is t-distributed with =0.05
Since we need to use Conservative approximation, to estimate the degrees of freedom. This is simply the smaller of the two numbers n1-1 and n2-1.
Thus degree of freedom = min( n1-1 , n2 -1 ) = min( 13-1 , 12 -1 ) =min(12,11) = 11 degree of freedom
i.e is t-distributed with degree of freedom = 11 and =0.05
It can be computed from statistical book or more accurately from any software like R,Excel
From R
> qt(1-0.05/2,df=11)
[1] 2.200985
Thus = 2.200985 with df = 11 at =0.05
Hence
95% confidence interval for μ1 - μ2 is given by
C.I = { ( - ) * S.E }
C.I = { (11.4 - 9.7 ) 2.200985 * 1.159127 }
The lower bound ( LB ), for a 95% confidence interval for μ1 - μ2 is
LB = { (11.4 - 9.7 ) - 2.200985 * 1.159127 } = -0.8512211
lower bound = -0.851 ( Rounding to three units )
And
The upper bound ( UB ), for a 95% confidence interval for μ1 - μ2 is
UB = { (11.4 - 9.7 ) + 2.200985 * 1.159127 } = 4.251221
upper bound = 4.251 ( Rounding to three units )
Hence 95% confidence interval for μ1 - μ2 is ( -0.851 , 4.251 )
Conclusion - Since our 95% confidence interval include the interger zero { 0 } , hence we conclude that at =0.05 , the averaged hitting by two bats may be same .