In: Accounting
Forecasting the Income Statement, Balance Sheet, and Statement
of Cash Flows
Following are the financial statements of Nike, Inc.
| Consolidated Statements of Income | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Year ended May 31 | |||
| In Millions | 2011 | 2010 | |
| Revenues | $ 20,862 | $ 19,014 | |
| Cost of sales | 11,354 | 10,214 | |
| Gross profit | 9,508 | 8,800 | |
| Demand creation expense | 2,448 | 2,356 | |
| Operating overhead expense | 4,245 | 3,970 | |
| Total selling and administrative expense | 6,693 | 6,326 | |
| Interest expense (income), net | 4 | 6 | |
| Other (income) | (33) | (49) | |
| Income before income taxes | 2,844 | 2,517 | |
| Income taxes | 711 | 610 | |
| Net income | $ 2,133 | $ 1,907 | |
| Balance Sheets | ||
|---|---|---|
| May 31 | ||
| In Millions | 2011 | 2010 |
| Assets | ||
| Cash and equivalents | $ 1,955 | $ 3,079 |
| Short-term investments | 2,583 | 2,067 |
| Accounts receivable, net | 3,138 | 2,650 |
| Inventories | 2,715 | 2,041 |
| Deferred income taxes | 312 | 249 |
| Prepaid expenses and other current assets | 594 | 873 |
| Total current assets | 11,297 | 10,959 |
| Property, plant and equipment, net | 2,115 | 1,932 |
| Identifiable intangible assets (net) | 487 | 467 |
| Goodwill | 205 | 188 |
| Deferred income taxes and other assets | 894 | 873 |
| Total assets | $ 14,998 | $ 14,419 |
| Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity | ||
| Current portion of long-term debt | $ 200 | $ 7 |
| Notes payable | 187 | 139 |
| Accounts payable | 1,469 | 1,255 |
| Accrued liabilities | 1,985 | 1,904 |
| Income taxes payable | 117 | 59 |
| Total current liabilities | 3,958 | 3,364 |
| Long-term debt | 276 | 446 |
| Deferred income taxes and other liabilities | 921 | 855 |
| Total liabilities | 5,155 | 4,665 |
| Common stock at stated value | 3 | 3 |
| Capital in excess of stated value | 3,944 | 3,441 |
| Accumulated other comprehensive income | 95 | 215 |
| Retained earnings | 5,801 | 6,095 |
| Total shareholders' equity | 9,843 | 9,754 |
| Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | $ 14,998 | $ 14,419 |
We forecast Nike's income statement using the following forecast assumptions:
| Revenue growth based on growth in revenues from 2010 to 2011 | 10% |
| Cost of sales/Revenues | 54.4% |
| Demand creation expense/Revenues | 11.7% |
| Operating overhead expenses/Revenues | 20.3% |
| Income taxes/Income before income taxes | 25.0% |
Instructions: Forecast Nike's fiscal year 2012 income statement.
Assume no change for: other income and interest expense.
Round forecasts to $ millions.
Do not use negative signs with your answers in the income statement.
| Consolidated Statements of Income | ||
|---|---|---|
| ($ millions) | 2011 | 2012 |
| Revenues | $20,862 | $Answer |
| Cost of sales | 11,354 | Answer |
| Gross profit | 9,508 | Answer |
| Demand creation expense | 2,448 | Answer |
| Operating overhead expense | 4,245 | Answer |
| Interest expense, net | 4 | Answer |
| Other income | 33 | Answer |
| Income before income taxes | 2,844 | Answer |
| Income taxes | 711 | Answer |
| Net Income | $ 2,133 | $Answer |
We forecast Nike's balance sheet using the following forecast assumptions:
| Accounts receivable/Revenues | 15.0% |
| Inventories/Revenues | 13.0% |
| Deferred income taxes/Revenues | 1.5% |
| Prepaid expenses and other current assets/Revenues | 2.8% |
| L-T deferred income taxes and other assets/Revenues | 4.3% |
| Depreciation expense/Prior-year PPE, net (incl. in overhead) | 17.3% |
| Amortization expense | $24 |
| Accounts payable/Revenues | 7.0% |
| Accrued liabilities/Revenues | 9.5% |
| Income taxes payable/Revenues | 0.6% |
| Deferred income taxes and other liabilities/Revenues | 4.4% |
| Capital expenditures/Revenues | 2.1% |
| Dividends/Net income | 26.0% |
| Current portion of L/T due in 2013 | $48 |
Instructions: Forecast Nike's fiscal year 2012 balance sheet.
Assume no change for: short-term investments, goodwill, notes payable, common stock, capital in excess of stated value and accumulated other comprehensive income.
Round forecasts to $ millions.
| Balance Sheet | ||
|---|---|---|
| ($ millions) | 2011 | 2012 |
| Assets | ||
| Cash and equivalents | $ 1,955 | $Answer |
| Short-term investments | 2,583 | Answer |
| Accounts receivable, net | 3,138 | Answer |
| Inventories | 2,715 | Answer |
| Deferred income taxes | 312 | Answer |
| Prepaid expenses and other current assets | 594 | Answer |
| Total current assets | 11,297 | Answer |
| Property, plant and equipment, net | 2,115 | Answer |
| Identifiable intangible assets, net | 487 | Answer |
| Goodwill | 205 | Answer |
| Deferred income taxes and other assets | 894 | Answer |
| Total assets | $14,998 | $Answer |
| Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity | ||
| Current portion of long-term debt | $ 200 | $ Answer |
| Notes payable | 187 | Answer |
| Accounts payable | 1,469 | Answer |
| Accrued liabilities | 1,985 | Answer |
| Income taxes payable | 117 | Answer |
| Total current liabilities | 3,958 | Answer |
| Long-term debt | 276 | Answer |
| Deferred income taxes and other liabilities | 921 | Answer |
| Total liabilities | 5,155 | Answer |
| Common stock at stated value | 3 | Answer |
| Capital in excess of stated value | 3,944 | Answer |
| Accumulated other comprehensive income | 95 | Answer |
| Retained earnings | 5,801 | Answer |
| Total shareholders' equity | 9,843 | Answer |
| Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | $14,998 | $ Answer |
Instructions: Forecast Nike's fiscal year 2012 stastement of cash flows.
Remember to use negative signs with your answers below, when appropriate.
| Nike's Forecasted Statement of Cash Flows | |
|---|---|
| ($ millions) | 2012 Est. |
| Net income | $ Answer |
| Add: depreciation | Answer |
| Add: amortization | Answer |
| Change in Accounts receivable | Answer |
| Change in Inventories | Answer |
| Change in Deferred income taxes | Answer |
| Change in Prepaid expenses & other current assets | Answer |
| Change in LT Deferred income taxes & other assets | Answer |
| Change in Accounts payable | Answer |
| Change in Accrued liabilities | Answer |
| Change in Income taxes payable | Answer |
| Change in LT Deferred income taxes and other liabilities | Answer |
| Net cash from operating activities | Answer |
| Capital expenditures | Answer |
| Net cash from investing activities | Answer |
| Dividends | Answer |
| Payments of LT debt | Answer |
| Net cash from financing activities | Answer |
| Net change in cash | Answer |
| Beginning cash | Answer |
| Ending cash | $ Answer |
|
Consolidated Statement of Income |
||
|
$ In Millions |
2011 |
2012 |
|
Revenues |
20,862 |
22,948 |
|
Cost of Sales |
11,354 |
12,484 |
|
Gross Profit |
9,508 |
10,464 |
|
Demand Creation Expense |
2,448 |
2,685 |
|
Operating Overhead Expense |
4,245 |
4,658 |
|
Interest Expense, net |
4 |
4 |
|
Other Income |
33 |
33 |
|
Income before Taxes |
2,844 |
3,150 |
|
Income Taxes |
711 |
788 |
|
Net Income |
2,133 |
2,362 |
|
Balance Sheet |
||
|
$ In Millions |
2011 |
2012 |
|
Assets |
||
|
Cash and Equivalents |
1,955 |
3,107 |
|
Short Term Investments |
2,583 |
2,583 |
|
Accounts Receivable, Net |
3,138 |
3,442 |
|
Inventories |
2,715 |
2,983 |
|
Deferred Income Taxes |
312 |
344 |
|
Prepaid Expenses and Other Current Assets |
594 |
643 |
|
Total Current Assets |
11,297 |
13,102 |
|
Property, Plant and Equipment, net |
2,115 |
2,231 |
|
Identifiable Intangible Assets, net |
487 |
511 |
|
Goodwill |
205 |
205 |
|
Deferred Income Taxes and Other Assets |
894 |
987 |
|
Total Assets |
14,998 |
17,036 |
|
Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity |
||
|
Current Portion of Long Term Debt |
200 |
48 |
|
Notes Payable |
187 |
187 |
|
Accounts Payable |
1,469 |
1,606 |
|
Accrued Liabilities |
1,985 |
2,180 |
|
Income Taxes Payable |
117 |
138 |
|
Total Current Liabilities |
3,958 |
4,159 |
|
Long Term Debt |
276 |
276 |
|
Deferred Income Taxes and Other Liabilities |
921 |
1,010 |
|
Total Liabilties |
5,155 |
5,445 |
|
Common Stock at Stated Value |
3 |
3 |
|
Capital in Excess of Stated Value |
3,944 |
3,944 |
|
Accumulated and Other Comprehensive Income |
95 |
95 |
|
Retained Earnings |
5,801 |
7,549 |
|
Total Shareholders' Equity |
9,843 |
11,591 |
|
Total Shareholders' Equity and Liabilities |
14,998 |
17,036 |
| Nike's Forecasted Statement of Cashflows | |
| ($ millions) | 2012 Est |
| Net Income | 2,362 |
| Add : Depreciation | 366 |
| Add : Amortization | 24 |
| Change in Accounts Receivable | - 304 |
| Change in Inventories | - 268 |
| Change in Deferred Income Taxes | - 32 |
| Change in Prepaid Expenses and Other Current Assets | - 49 |
| Change in LT Deferred Income Taxes and Other Assets | - 93 |
| Change in Accounts Payable | 137 |
| Change in Accrued Liabilities | 195 |
| Change in Income Tax Payable | 21 |
| Change in LT Deferred Income Taxes and Other Liabilities | 89 |
| Net Cash from Operating Activities | 2,448 |
| Capital Expeditures | - 482 |
| Net Cash from Investing Activities | - 482 |
| Dividends | - 614 |
| Payments of LT Debt | - 200 |
| Net Cash from Financing Activities | - 814 |
| Net Change in Cash | 1,152 |
| Beginning Cash | 1,955 |
| Ending Cash | 3,107 |
workings:
1. Depreciation = 2115 * 17.3% = 366
2. Dividend = 2362 *26% = 614
3.
| Opening Retained Earnings | 5,801 |
| Add: Net Income | 2,362 |
| Less: Dividend Paid | 614 |
| Closing Retained Earnings | 7,549 |
4. Capital Expenditure : 22948 * 2.1% = 482