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In: Statistics and Probability

Non-Conforming Parts (NCP) Presume; Production makes 250,000 Parts per year. Each Part Sells for $100. If...

Non-Conforming Parts (NCP) Presume; Production makes 250,000 Parts per year. Each Part Sells for $100. If no issues, Each Part cost $90 to make. The Critical Operation is the last operation - Unfortunately. If it’s too long – it can be reworked. If it’s too short – it’s scrap. If rework is needed, there is an additional $0.70 added to the production cost. If the part must be scrapped, there is a $6 disposal fee as it contains mercury (Hg). The Final Operation’s Critical Dimension is 100mm +/-10 mm. We have 3 (Bell Curve) Processes: FOR EACH SCENARIO; What would be the -- Percent First Time Capable within Tolerances -- Percent Rework -- Percent Scrap -- Percent between 99 mm and 101 mm -- and Profit?? 1) A Process Centered at 100mm with a Standard Deviation of +/- 5mm?? 2) A Process Centered at 105mm with a Standard Deviation of +/- 5mm? 3) A Process Centered at 100mm with a Standard Deviation of +/- 1mm? 4) A Process Centered at 100mm with a Standard Deviation of +/- 0.1mm? a. In this scenario, If it were “better” (Cost, performance, etc.) to move change the tolerances to 95mm +/- 5mm; would you be comfortable with the change? Why?

Solutions

Expert Solution

SOLLUTION:-

I believe the tolerance given is misprinted. It should be 100 +/- 1 (i.e. 99 to 101) and not 100 +/ 10 .

The calculation follows:

Process Mean (μ) Sigma (σ) USL LSL Prob(> USL) i.e. % rework Prob( < LSL) i.e. % scrap Rework per day Scrap per day Defect-free parts per day
1 100 5 101 99 42.07% 42.07% 105185 105185 39630
2 105 5 101 99 78.81% 11.51% 197036 28767 24196
3 100 1 101 99 15.87% 15.87% 39664 39664 170672
4 100 0.1 101 99 0.00% 0.00% 0 0 250000
Process Profit from defect-free parts Profit from reworked parts Loss from scrap Net profit
1 $396,299 $978,221 $10,097,767 ($8,723,247)
2 $241,964 $1,832,436 $2,761,672 ($687,272)
3 $1,706,724 $368,873 $3,807,726 ($1,732,129)
4 $2,500,000 $0 $0 $2,500,000

Process First time capable % Rework % Scrap % % between 99-101 (i.e. rework + first-time ok) Profit
1 15.9% 42.07% 42.07% 57.93% ($8,723,247)
2 9.7% 78.81% 11.51% 88.49% ($687,272)
3 68.3% 15.87% 15.87% 84.13% ($1,732,129)
4 100.0% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% $2,500,000

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