In: Statistics and Probability
Non-Conforming Parts (NCP) Presume; Production makes 250,000 Parts per year. Each Part Sells for $100. If no issues, Each Part cost $90 to make. The Critical Operation is the last operation - Unfortunately. If it’s too long – it can be reworked. If it’s too short – it’s scrap. If rework is needed, there is an additional $0.70 added to the production cost. If the part must be scrapped, there is a $6 disposal fee as it contains mercury (Hg). The Final Operation’s Critical Dimension is 100mm +/-10 mm. We have 3 (Bell Curve) Processes: FOR EACH SCENARIO; What would be the -- Percent First Time Capable within Tolerances -- Percent Rework -- Percent Scrap -- Percent between 99 mm and 101 mm -- and Profit?? 1) A Process Centered at 100mm with a Standard Deviation of +/- 5mm?? 2) A Process Centered at 105mm with a Standard Deviation of +/- 5mm? 3) A Process Centered at 100mm with a Standard Deviation of +/- 1mm? 4) A Process Centered at 100mm with a Standard Deviation of +/- 0.1mm? a. In this scenario, If it were “better” (Cost, performance, etc.) to move change the tolerances to 95mm +/- 5mm; would you be comfortable with the change? Why?
SOLLUTION:-
I believe the tolerance given is misprinted. It should be 100 +/- 1 (i.e. 99 to 101) and not 100 +/ 10 .
The calculation follows:
Process | Mean (μ) | Sigma (σ) | USL | LSL | Prob(> USL) i.e. % rework | Prob( < LSL) i.e. % scrap | Rework per day | Scrap per day | Defect-free parts per day |
1 | 100 | 5 | 101 | 99 | 42.07% | 42.07% | 105185 | 105185 | 39630 |
2 | 105 | 5 | 101 | 99 | 78.81% | 11.51% | 197036 | 28767 | 24196 |
3 | 100 | 1 | 101 | 99 | 15.87% | 15.87% | 39664 | 39664 | 170672 |
4 | 100 | 0.1 | 101 | 99 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 250000 |
Process | Profit from defect-free parts | Profit from reworked parts | Loss from scrap | Net profit | |||||
1 | $396,299 | $978,221 | $10,097,767 | ($8,723,247) | |||||
2 | $241,964 | $1,832,436 | $2,761,672 | ($687,272) | |||||
3 | $1,706,724 | $368,873 | $3,807,726 | ($1,732,129) | |||||
4 | $2,500,000 | $0 | $0 | $2,500,000 |
Process | First time capable % | Rework % | Scrap % | % between 99-101 (i.e. rework + first-time ok) | Profit |
1 | 15.9% | 42.07% | 42.07% | 57.93% | ($8,723,247) |
2 | 9.7% | 78.81% | 11.51% | 88.49% | ($687,272) |
3 | 68.3% | 15.87% | 15.87% | 84.13% | ($1,732,129) |
4 | 100.0% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 100.00% | $2,500,000 |