In: Finance
TechNo Corp is a rapid-growth IT firm. TechNo expects to grow at 25% for the next four years. After year four, growth will moderate at 4.75%. TechNo expects to pay a dividend of $1.59 per share next year. If TechNo’s required return is 13.2% and the stock is currently selling at $45.77 per share, is the stock fairly valued? If not, by how much is it over- or under-valued?
We have to compute the share price using divided discount model first | ||||||||
Year over year dividend will grow by 24% for year 2 to year 4. | ||||||||
i | ii | iii | iv=ii+iii | v | vi=iv*v | |||
Year | Dividend | Terminal value | Total cash flow | PVIF @ 13.2% | Present value | |||
1 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 0.883392226 | 1.40 | ||||
2 | 1.99 | 1.99 | 0.780381825 | 1.55 | ||||
3 | 2.48 | 2.48 | 0.689383238 | 1.71 | ||||
4 | 3.11 | 38.50 | 41.60 | 0.608995793 | 25.34 | |||
30.00 | ||||||||
Terminal value = | 3.11*104.75%/(13.2%-4.75%) | |||||||
38.50 | ||||||||
Therefore price should be $30 per share. Current price is $45.77. Therefore stock is over-valued. | ||||||||
Overvalued by 45.77-30= | $ 15.77 | |||||||