In: Statistics and Probability
A poll stated that 32% of those polled think the economy is getting worse. An economist wanted to check this claim so she surveyed 750 people and found that 30% of them thought the economy is getting worse. What is the p-value? (α = 0.05)
Solution:
This a two- tailed test.
The null and alternative hypothesis is,
Ho: p = 0.32
Ha: p 0.32
Test statistics
z = ( - ) / *(1-) / n
= ( 0.30 - 0.32) / (0.32*0.68) / 750
= -1.174
P-value = 2 * P(Z < -1.174 )
= 2 * 0.1202
= 0.2404
The p-value is p = 0.2404, and since p = 0.2404 > 0.05, it is concluded that fail to reject the null hypothesis.