In: Statistics and Probability
You are booking tickets for a flight to Brazil, the Cessna airplane only has 10 tickets. It is common knowledge that only 85% of people who buy plane tickets actually make it to the gate, so the airline sells 11 tickets for your flight. What is the probability that there will be at least 1 empty seat?
P(at least 1 empty seat) = 1 - P(none of the seats are empty)
= 1 - P(greater than or equal to 10 people make it to the gate)
= 1 - [P(X = 10) + P(X = 11)]
= 1 - [11C10 * 0.8510 * 0.151 + 11C11 * 0.8511 * 0.150]
= 1 - 0.4922
= 0.5078