In: Finance
Given that Dividend for the last year (D0) = $ 3.40
Now, given that next Year (Year 1) there will be no growth therefore Dividedn for the next year = $ 3.40
Now, Growth Rate for Year 2 and Year 3 = 5%.
Therefore Dividend for the year 2 = $ 3.4 x (1 + Growth Rate)
Dividend for Year 2 (D2) = 3.4 (1.05) = $ 3.57
Now, Dividend for Year 3 (D3) = D2 x (1+G)
Dividend for Year 3 (D3) = 3.57 (1.05) = $ 3.7485
Now In year 4 Growth Rate of Dividend = 15%.
Therefore Dividend of Year 4 (D4) = D3 x (1+0.15)
Dividend for year 4 (D4) = $ 3.7485 x (1.15) = $ 4.310775
Now Growth rate of dividend after year 4 = 10%
Therefore Dividend for the year 5 = D4 x (1+0.10)
Dividend for the year 5 = $ 4.310775 *1.10 = $ 4.7418525
Therefore the value of cash dividend at the end of each year are as follows:-
Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
Dividend | 3.40 | 3.57 | 3.7485 | 4.310775 | 4.741853 |
Growth Rate | 0% | 5% | 5% | 15% | 10% |
Now Let us compute the present values of Dividend computed Above. To claculate the present value we use the below formula
Present Value = Dividend Amount/ (1+ R) ^n where R is the discount Rate and n is the no. of years.
We have Discount Rate given = 12% so let us compute the present values of the dividends
Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
Dividend (A) | 3.40 | 3.57 | 3.7485 | 4.310775 | 4.741853 |
Growth Rate | 0% | 5% | 5% | 15% | 10% |
Discount Factors @ 12% (B) | 0.892857 | 0.797194 | 0.71178 | 0.635518 | 0.567427 |
Derivation of Discount Factors (B) | =1/1.12 | =1/1.12^2 | =1/1.12^3 | =1/1.12^4 | =1/1.12^5 |
Present Value (AxB) | 3.04 | 2.85 | 2.67 | 2.74 | 2.69 |
Now, given that from year 5 the growth rate of dividend is 10%.
Therfore the Value of Stock at the end of Year 5 = Dividend for the year 5 x (1+G)/ (R - G) where G is the Growth Rate is 10 % and R is 12%
Therefore the Value of stock at the end of initial growth phase year 5= 4.741853 *(1+0.10)/(0.12-0.10) = $ 260.8019.
Now, Value of Stock = Sum of the PV of Dividend as computed above + PV of Stock value at the end of year 5 as computed above.
Value of Stock = $ 13.98 + $ 260.8019 / (1.12)^5
Value of Stock = $13.98 + $147.986
Value of Stock = $161.97