Question

In: Statistics and Probability

1. Suppose we are interested in analyzing how much people spend on travel during the summer....

1. Suppose we are interested in analyzing how much people spend on travel during the summer. We know that on average, people spend $1005 on travel with a population standard deviation of $1740. Suppose we take a sample of 30 people and we find that the average spent from that sample is $1850. We are interested in seeing if the amount spent on travel is increasing. a. What is the standard error? b. What is the margin of error at 90% confidence? c. Using my sample of 30, what would be the 90% confidence interval for the population mean? d. If I wanted to control my margin of error and set it to 500 at 90% confidence, what sample size would I need to take instead of the 30? e. What are the null and alternative hypotheses? f. What is the critical value at 90% confidence? g. Calculate the test statistic (using the sample of 30 and NOT the answer from part d). h. Find the p-value. i. What conclusion would be made here at the 90% confidence level?

Solutions

Expert Solution

e) Null Hypothesis H0:

ALTERNATIVE HYPOTHESIS Ha:

alpha=0.1

a) standard error=

b) since population standard deviation is known therefore we will use Z critical value

margin of error= Zc*S.e= 1.64*317.518= 522.54

c) M = 1850
Z = 1.64
sM = √(1740^2/30) = 317.68

μ = M ± Z(sM)
μ = 1850 ± 1.64*317.68
μ = 1850 ± 522.54
M = 1850, 90% CI [1327.46, 2372.54].

You can be 90% confident that the population mean (μ) falls between 1327.46 and 2372.54.

d) n= (1.64*1740/500)^2= 33

f) Since test is one tailed test (Right). Critical value is 1.28

g) test statistic= 1850-1005/317.518= 2.66

h) The P-Value is .003907.

The result is significant because p < .10.

Decision: REJECT H0

i) Conclusion: We have sufficient evidence to conclude that  the amount spent on travel is increasing at 90% confidence level.


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