In: Economics
The engineering team at Manuel’s Manufacturing Inc. is planning to purchase an enterprise resource planning (ERP) system. The software and installation from Vendor A costs $380,000 initially and is expected to have revenue $125,000 per year every year.Manuel’s uses a 4-year planning horizon and a 10% per year MARR.
What is the discounted payback period of the investment (do linear interpolation to answer)?
Investment = 380000
Annual return = 125000
t = 4 yrs
i = 10%
We need to find the present value of cash flow in each year and then find cumulative cash flow and find the year in which cash flow turns positive.
Year | Investment | Savings | PV Factor | Present value | Cumulative Cash Flow |
0 | -380000 | 1 | -380000.00 | -380000.00 | |
1 | 125000 | 0.909090909 | 113636.36 | -266363.64 | |
2 | 125000 | 0.826446281 | 103305.79 | -163057.85 | |
3 | 125000 | 0.751314801 | 93914.35 | -69143.50 | |
4 | 125000 | 0.683013455 | 85376.68 | 16233.18 |
discounted Payback period = Last period with a negative cumulative cash flow + (Absolute value of cumulative cash flows at that period / present value of the Cash flow after that period).
discounted Payback period = 3 + (69143.18 / 85376.68)
= 3.8098 years = 3.81 years
Showing formula in excel
Year | Investment | Savings | PV Factor | Present value | Cumulative Cash Flow |
0 | -380000 | =1/(1+0.1)^A16 | =B16*D16 | =E16 | |
1 | 125000 | =1/(1+0.1)^A17 | =C17*D17 | =F16+E17 | |
2 | 125000 | =1/(1+0.1)^A18 | =C18*D18 | =F17+E18 | |
3 | 125000 | =1/(1+0.1)^A19 | =C19*D19 | =F18+E19 | |
4 | 125000 | =1/(1+0.1)^A20 | =C20*D20 | =F19+E20 |