In: Finance
Digital Plc just paid a dividend of $3 per share. Analysts expect its dividend to grow at 12% per year for the next three years and then 6% per year, indefinitely thereafter. If the required rate of return on the stock is 10%, what is the current value of the stock?
a) 93 b) 87 c) 77 d) 69 e) 98
Correct Answer is a) 93
Intrinsic Value of Share as per Dividend Model = Present Value of all Future Dividends.
In this Question , it is 2 stage model, during the next 3years dividend is expected to grow at the rate 12% , and thereafter at 6% indefinitely.
Intrinsic Value of Share as per Dividend Model = Stage 1 + Stage 2
Stage 1 = Present Value of Dividends for next 3 Years
Stage 2 = Present Value of Dividends from Year 4 Onwards.
Present Value of Dividends for next 3 Years | |||
Year | Dividend | Discount Rate @ 10% | Present Value |
1 | 3.36 | 0.91 | 3.05 |
2 | 3.76 | 0.83 | 3.11 |
3 | 4.21 | 0.75 | 3.17 |
Total | 9.33 |
Calculation of present Value of Dividends from Year 4 Onwards.
Intrinsic Value at the end of 3rd Year =[ D3 (1+g)] / [Re -g]
Were D3 is the dividend for 3rd Year
g is the growth rate from year 3 onwards ie 6%
Re is the required Rate of return ie 10%
Substiuting Values we get
IV3 = [4.21 (1.06)] / [0.1 -0.06]
IV3 = 111.565
Discounting IV3 @ the rate 10% to now is = 111.565 /(1.1)3
Stage 2 value = 83.82
Intrinsic Value of Share as per Dividend Model = Stage 1 + Stage 2
= 9.33+ 83.82
=93.25
So the Current value of Stock us $93.25 , Rounded to $93