In: Finance
The intrinsic value of shares can be calculated by two stage model of dividend discounting and Gordon model of constant dividend growth model.
di = dividend at different year,
r= required rate of return ,
g = constant dividend growth rate
here , value of 'r' will be calculated by use of CAPM model.
r = 0.03 + 25 ( 0.08-0.03) =1.28 = 128%
calculation of V1, dividend growth rate 12% for first six years
Year | dividend | Pv(dividend @ r%) |
0 | $90.00 | $0.000 |
1 | $100.80 | $44.211 |
2 | $112.90 | $21.717 |
3 | $126.44 | $10.668 |
4 | $141.62 | $5.241 |
5 | $158.61 | $2.574 |
6 | $177.64 | $1.265 |
V1 | $85.676 |
dividend growth rate g = 3% =0.03
V2 = $ 1.012
V = $ 86.687
Answer C) for intrinsic value (V) = $ 95 .
Dividend Yield on current year = $ 98.63
Using Goal seek , shown in below
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3 dividend 0 $90.00 1 $100.80 2 $112.90 3 $126.44 4 $141.62 5 $158.61 6 $177.64 Pv(dividend @1%) Year 4 Goal Seelk $0.000 $A4.211 $21.717 $10.668 $5.241 $2.574 $1.265 Set cell: To value: By changing cell: $C$16 95 10 12 13 14 15 16 17 $85.676 $1.012 $86.687 V2
3 Goal Seek Status dividend 0$98.63 1 $110.47 2 $123.72 3 $138.57 4$155.20 5 $173.82 6 $194.68 Py(dividend @1%) Year 4 $0.000 $48.450 $23.800 $11.691 $5.743 $2.821 $1.386 Goal Seeking with Cell C16 found a solution. Step Pause Target value: 95 Current value: $95.000 10 12 13 14 15 16 17 $93.891 $1.109 $95.000 V1 V2