In: Statistics and Probability
Isle Royale, an island in Lake Superior, has provided an important study site of wolves and their prey. Of special interest is the study of the number of moose killed by wolves. In the period from 1958 to 1974, there were 296 moose deaths identified as wolf kills. The age distribution of the kills is as follows.
Age of Moose in Years | Number Killed by Wolves |
Calf (0.5 yr) 1-5 6-10 11-15 16-20 |
107 51 75 57 6 |
(a) For each age group, compute the probability that a moose in that age group is killed by a wolf. (Round your answers to three decimal places.)
0.5 | |
1-5 | |
6-10 | |
11-15 | |
16-20 |
(b) Consider all ages in a class equal to the class midpoint. Find
the expected age of a moose killed by a wolf and the standard
deviation of the ages. (Round your answers to two decimal
places.)
Solution:
Part a) For each age group, compute the probability that a moose in that age group is killed by a wolf.
To find probability divide each frequency by total frequency.
Thus we get:
Age of Moose in Years | Number Killed by Wolves | Calculations |
---|---|---|
Calf (0.5 yr) | 107 | =107/296 |
1 --5 | 51 | =51/296 |
6--10 | 75 | =75/296 |
11--15 | 57 | =57/296 |
16--20 | 6 | =6/296 |
296 |
Age of Moose in Years | Probability |
Calf (0.5 yr) | 0.361 |
1 --5 | 0.172 |
6--10 | 0.253 |
11--15 | 0.193 |
16--20 | 0.020 |
Part b) Consider all ages in a class equal to the class midpoint. Find the expected age of a moose killed by a wolf and the standard deviation of the ages.
thus
Age of Moose in Years | Probability | x:mid points | x*P(x) | x^2*P(x) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Calf (0.5 yr) | 0.361 | 0.5 | 0.1807 | 0.0904 |
1 --5 | 0.172 | 3 | 0.5169 | 1.5507 |
6--10 | 0.253 | 8 | 2.0270 | 16.2162 |
11--15 | 0.193 | 13 | 2.5034 | 32.5439 |
16--20 | 0.020 | 18 | 0.3649 | 6.5676 |
Thus
Mean ( Expected Value)
and
Standard deviation:
where
thus