Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Collect the DataCheck the Real Estate section in your local newspaper. Record the sale prices for...

Collect the DataCheck the Real Estate section in your local newspaper. Record the sale prices for 35 randomly selected homes recently listed in the county.

NOTE

Many newspapers list them only one day per week. Also, we will assume that homes come up for sale randomly.

  1. 588777
    654345
    679231
    514567
    589876
    456342
    576567
    543786
    680364
    324176
    578354
    348729
    745368
    635478
    736453
    491847
    764836
    734629
    438274
    645274
    364846
    456739
    873937
    645278
    573847
    745636
    736547
    836474
    254637
    746473
    543729
    562437
    638746
    769373
    738392
    Table 8.5

Describe the Data'

  1. Compute the following:

    1. x¯ = 606124.6857

    2. sx = 149131.0695

    3. n = 35

  1. In words, define the random variable ?⎯⎯⎯X¯
  2. State the estimated distribution to use. Use both words and symbols.

Find the Confidence Interval

  1. Calculate the confidence interval and the error bound.
    1. Confidence Interval: _____
    2. Error Bound: _____
  2. How much area is in both tails (combined)? α = _____
  3. How much area is in each tail? ?2α2 = _____
  4. Fill in the blanks on the graph with the area in each section. Then, fill in the number line with the upper and lower limits of the confidence interval and the sample mean.

    Figure 8.6

  5. Some students think that a 90% confidence interval contains 90% of the data. Use the list of data on the first page and count how many of the data values lie within the confidence interval. What percent is this? Is this percent close to 90%? Explain why this percent should or should not be close to 90%.

Describe the Confidence Interval

  1. In two to three complete sentences, explain what a confidence interval means (in general), as if you were talking to someone who has not taken statistics.
  2. In one to two complete sentences, explain what this confidence interval means for this particular study.

Use the Data to Construct Confidence Intervals

  1. Using the given information, construct a confidence interval for each confidence level given.
    Confidence level EBM/Error Bound Confidence Interval
    50%
    80%
    95%
    99%

    Table 8.6

  2. What happens to the EBM as the confidence level increases? Does the width of the confidence interval increase or decrease? Explain why this happens.

Solutions

Expert Solution

90% CI: (563500.3, 648749.1), where, t0.05,34=1.6909 (R code: round(qt(1-0.05,34),4))

Error bound=42624.4

No. of observations which lie in (563500.3, 648749.1)=9.

Percentage of observations which lie in (563500.3, 648749.1)=(9/35)*100=26%

Bcause 90% of CI for population mean means we are 90% confident that true mean lies in that interval and this is does not mean almost 90% of observations fall within this interval.

The CI is a range of values that is likely to include a population mean with a certain degree of confidence. Here we 90% confident that true mean lies in (563500.3, 648749.1).

Confidence level Error bound CI
50% 17185.99 (588938.7, 623310.7)
80% 32945.31 (573179.4, 639070.0)
95% 51228.31 (554896.4, 657353.0)
99% 68776.69 (537348.0, 674901.4)

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