In: Statistics and Probability
People were polled on how many books they read the previous year. Initial survey results indicate thats= 19.6books. Complete parts (a) through (d) below.
(a) How many subjects are needed to estimate the mean number of books read the previous year within four books with 95% confidence?
(b) How many subjects are needed to estimate the mean number of books read the previous year within one book with 90% confidence?
(c) What effect does doubling the required accuracy have on the sample size?
(d) How many subjects are needed to estimate the mean number of books read the previous year within two books with 99% confidence? Compare this result to part (a). How does increasing the level of confidence in the estimate affect sample size? Why is this reasonable?
Given, s = 19.6
a) With 95% confidence interval the critical value is z0.025 = 1.96
Margin of error = 4
=> z0.025 * s/sqrt(n) = 4
=> 1.96 * 19.6/sqrt(n) = 4
=> sqrt(n) = 1.96 * 19.6 / 4
=> sqrt(n) = 9.604
=> n = 92.24 = 92
b) Margin of error = 1
With 90% confidence interval the critical value is z0.05 = 1.645
=> z0.05 * s/sqrt(n) = 1
=> 1.645 * 19.6/sqrt(n) = 1
=> sqrt(n) = 1.645 * 19.6 / 1
=> sqrt(n) = 32.242
=> n = 1039.55 = 1040
c) Doubling the required accuracy nearly quadruples the sample size
d) With 99% confidence interval the critical value is z0.005 = 2.58
Margin of error = 2
=> z0.005 * s/sqrt(n) = 2
=> 2.58 * 19.6/sqrt(n) = 2
=> sqrt(n) = 2.58 * 19.6 / 2
=> sqrt(n) = 25.284
=> n = 639.28 = 639
Comparing to part (a),
Increasing the level of confidence increases the sample size required. For a fixed margin of error, greater confidence can be achieved with a larger sample size