Question

In: Statistics and Probability

If you bet $1 in Kentucky’s Pick 4 lottery, you either lose $1 or gain $4999. (The winning prize is $5000, but your $1 bet is not r

If you bet $1 in Kentucky’s Pick 4 lottery, you either lose $1 or gain $4999. (The winning prize is $5000, but your $1 bet is not returned, so the net gain is $4999.) The game is played by selecting a four-digit number between 0000 and 9999. What is the probability of winning? If you bet $1 on 1234, what is the expected value of your gain or loss?

 

 

Solutions

Expert Solution

Here if, The game is played by selecting a four-digit number between 0000 and 9999.

Then,

For this bet, there are two outcomes: You either lose $1 or you gain $4999.

Probability of losing = 9,999 /10,000

Probability of winning = 1 /10,000

 

For lose : x = -$1 , p(x) = 0.9999 ,x*p(x) = -$0.9999

For gain: x = $4999 , p(x) = 0.0001 ,x*p(x) = $0.4999

 

Then total = lose - gain = -$ 0.5

 

The Probability of the winning is 1/10,000 and the value of gain or loss is -$ 0.5.


The Probability of the winning is 1/10,000 and the value of gain or loss is -$ 0.5.

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