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In: Statistics and Probability

Number of Certified Organic Farms in the United States, 2001–2008 Year Farms 2001 6,313 2002 6,647...

Number of Certified Organic Farms
in the United States, 2001–2008
Year Farms
2001 6,313
2002 6,647
2003 7,359
2004 7,348
2005 7,778
2006 8,769
2007 10,319
2008 11,633

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(a) Use Excel, MegaStat, or MINITAB to fit three trends (linear, quadratic, exponential) to the time series. (A negative value should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round the intermediate calculations. Round your final answers to 2 decimal places.)

Linear yt =  xt +
  Quadratic yt =  xt2 +  xt +
  Exponential yt =  e x

(b) Use each of the three fitted trend equations to make numerical forecasts for the next 3 years. (Round the intermediate calculations to 2 decimal places and round your final answers to 1 decimal place.)

t Linear Exponential Quadratic
  9                
  10                
  11                

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