In: Statistics and Probability
The accompanying data table show the percentage of tax returns filed electronically in a city from 2000 to 2009. Complete parts a through e below.
Year Percentage
2000 25
2001 33
2002 37
2003 38
2004 48
2005 50
2006 55
2007 59
2008 62
2009 64
a) Forecast the percentage of tax returns that will be electronically filed for 2010 using exponential smoothing with alpha= 0.1.
b) Calculate the MAD for the forecast in part a.
c) Forecast the percentage of tax returns that will be electronically filed for 2010 using exponential smoothing with trend adjustment. Set alpha= 0.3 and beta= 0.4.
d) Calculate the MAD for the forecast in part c.
a. 2010 56.41
b. MAD 11.63
c. 2010 70.5
d. MAD 4.4
exponential smoothing
smoothing with trend