In: Statistics and Probability
Jim is a 60-year-old Anglo male in reasonably good health. He wants to take out a $50,000 term (i.e., straight death benefit) life insurance policy until he is 65. The policy will expire on his 65th birthday. The probability of death in a given year is provided.
x = age | 60 | 61 | 62 | 63 | 64 |
P(death at this age) | 0.01180 | 0.01447 | 0.01627 | 0.02038 | 0.02335 |
Jim is applying to Big Rock Insurance Company for his term insurance policy.
(a) What is the probability that Jim will die in his 60th year?
(Enter your answer to five decimal places.)
Using this probability and the $50,000 death benefit, what is the
expected cost to Big Rock Insurance? (Round your answer to two
decimal places.)
$
(b) Repeat part (a) for years 61, 62, 63, and 64. (Round your
answers to two decimal places.)
Year | Expected Cost |
61 | $ |
62 | $ |
63 | $ |
64 | $ |
What would be the total expected cost to Big Rock Insurance over
the years 60 through 64? (Round your answer to two decimal
places.)
$
(c) If Big Rock Insurance wants to make a profit of $700 above the
expected total cost paid out for Jim's death, how much should it
charge for the policy? (Round your answer to two decimal
places.)
$
(d) If Big Rock Insurance Company charges $5000 for the policy, how
much profit does the company expect to make? (Round your answer to
two decimal places.)
$
a) probability that dies in 60 th year= | 0.01180 | ||
expected cost = 50000*0.0118= | 590 |
b)
probability | expected cost | ||
P(61)=0.01447 | 50000*0.01447=723.5 | ||
P(62)=0.01627 | 50000*0.01627=813.5 | ||
P(63)=0.02038 | 50000*0.02038=1019 | ||
P(64)=0.02335 | 50000*0.02335=1167.5 | ||
total expected cost = | 4313.5 |
c)
total premium charged=proft+expected cost = | 5013.5 |
d)
Profit =premium charged-expected cost= | 686.5 |