In: Accounting
(a): The dividends that a firm pays to its stockholders are expected to grow at 3% per quarter for the next four quarters. From t=4 onwards, i.e. from the beginning of the fifth quarter the growth rate in dividends will drop to 1.5% per quarter, and the firm expects to be able to sustain it at this level. Assuming that the market capitalization rate is 2.5% per quarter, work out the price of the firm’s stock assuming that the dividend expected to be paid at t=1, i.e., at the end of the first quarter is $2.25
.(b): Rework your answer assuming that gH, the rate at which the dividends are expected to grow for the first four quarters is 2.5% per quarter.
a] | Price of the stock today is the PV of the expected dividends | ||||
when discounted at the required rate of return of 10%. | |||||
Quarter | Dividend | PVIF at 2.5% | PV at 2.5% | ||
1 | $ 2.25 | 0.97561 | $ 2.20 | ||
2 | $ 2.32 | 0.95181 | $ 2.21 | ||
3 | $ 2.39 | 0.92860 | $ 2.22 | ||
4 | $ 2.46 | 0.90595 | $ 2.23 | ||
Sum of PV of dividends of years 1 to 4 | $ 8.84 | ||||
Continuing value of dividends at t4 = 2.46*1.015/(0.025-0.015) = | $ 249.69 | ||||
PV of continuing value = 246.69*0.90595 = | $ 226.21 | ||||
Market value of the stock today = 8.84+226.21 = | $ 235.05 | ||||
b] | Quarter | Dividend | PVIF at 2.5% | PV at 2.5% | |
1 | $ 2.25 | 0.97561 | $ 2.20 | ||
2 | $ 2.31 | 0.95181 | $ 2.20 | ||
3 | $ 2.36 | 0.92860 | $ 2.20 | ||
4 | $ 2.42 | 0.90595 | $ 2.20 | ||
Sum of PV of dividends of years 1 to 4 | $ 8.78 | ||||
Continuing value of dividends at t4 = 2.42*1.015/(0.025-0.015) = | $ 245.63 | ||||
PV of continuing value = 245.63*0.90595 = | $ 222.53 | ||||
Market value of the stock today = 8.78+222.53 = | $ 231.31 |