The trade deficit is the differences
between the goods and services purchased by other countries and the
goods and services we purchased. Some believe that our current
large trade deficit is contributing to the recent decline in the
value of the dollar, contributing to inflation and is in effect
mortgaging our country's infrastructure to other countries. Some
economists say that it is not a big problem because it will all
balance out in the end. The following is a summary of the reasoning
of the two positions.
First view:Negative (Less
globally competitive)
- Some economists believe that our GDP and employment can be hurt
by large deficits.
- In the real world, currencies are not as free to float in value
as some economists' claim, Instead they are often manipulated by
some governments (In our current situation, China.) to their
benefit.
- Trade deficits lead to a lowering in the value of the dollar
compared to other currencies. This raises the costs of imported
goods and causes inflation.
- It leads to more foreign ownership of our assets and
companies.
- In the short term, a trade deficit is not bad but sustained
deficits will hurt future generations.
Second View: Positive
- According to Nobel Prize-winning economist, Milton Friedman,
trade deficits are not harmful because the currency will always
comes back to the country in some form or another.
- Trade deficits will be naturally be resolved either by currency
devaluations, increased foreign ownership of assets or other forms
of foreign investment.
- A trade deficit is an indication that the currency is
desired.
- The current method of calculating the trade deficit does not
fully account for income derived from foreign sources or for US
ownership of foreign stocks.
Main Reference:
wikipedia