Question

In: Finance

Consider the following information: Rate of Return if State Occurs State of Economy Probability of State...

Consider the following information: Rate of Return if State Occurs State of Economy Probability of State of Economy Stock A Stock B Recession 0.10 0.04 -0.18 Normal 0.70 0.08 0.12 Boom 0.20 0.12 0.33 Required: (a) Calculate the expected return for Stock A. (Do not round your intermediate calculations.) (b) Calculate the expected return for Stock B. (Do not round your intermediate calculations.) (c) Calculate the standard deviation for Stock A. (Do not round your intermediate calculations.) (d) Calculate the standard deviation for Stock B. (Do not round your intermediate calculations.)

Solutions

Expert Solution

The correct answer is

a) 8.40%

b) 13.20%

c) 2.15%

d) 13.30%

Note :

For Stock A:

Probability Stock AReturn Expected Return ( Probability * Expected Return)
Recession 0.10 0.04 0.00
Normal 0.70 0.08 0.06
Boom 0.20 0.12 0.02
Expected Return   0.0840
Expected Return   % 8.40
Stock A Probability Probable Return Deviation ( Probable Return- Expected Return) Deviation Squared Product ( Deviation Squared* Probability)
Recession 0.10 4.00 -4.40 19.36 1.94
Normal 0.70 8.00 -0.40 0.16 0.11
Boom 0.20 12.00 3.60 12.96 2.59
Variance 4.64
Standard Deviation (Square root of Variance) 2.15

Stock B:

Probability Stock B Return Expected Return   ( Probability * Expected Return
Recession 0.10 -0.18 -0.0180
Normal 0.70 0.12 0.0840
Boom 0.20 0.33 0.0660
Expected Return   0.132
Expected Return  % 13.20
Stock B Probability Probable Return Deviation ( Probable Return- Expected Return) Deviation Squared Product ( Deviation Squared* Probability)
Recession 0.10 -18.00 -31.2 973.44 97.344
Normal 0.70 12.00 -1.2 1.44 1.008
Boom 0.20 33.00 19.8 392.04 78.408
Variance 176.76
Standard Deviation 13.30

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