In: Statistics and Probability
The charitable foundation for a large metropolitan hospital is conducting a study to characterize its donor base. In the past, most donations have come from relatively wealthy individuals; the average annual donor income in the most recent survey was right at $100,000. The foundation believes the average has now increased. A random sample of 200 current donors showed a mean annual income of $103,157 and a standard deviation of $227,498. To perform this study we should form a null hypothesis stating that the average is .__________(A. less than. B. less than or equal to. C. equal to. D. greater than. E. greater than or equal to).
At the 10% significant level, the p-value/statistics is ________ (keep to 3 decimal points), so we should ____________ (A. Reject. B. Not reject) the null hypothesis.
Hence, we may conclude that the average ________ (A.. Has. B. Has not) increased and the probability that our conclusion is correct is at least ________ percent.
Solution :
= 100000
= 103157
s = 227498
n = 200
To perform this study we should form a null hypothesis stating that the average is
B. less than or equal to.
This is the right tailed test .
The null and alternative hypothesis is
H0 : ≤ 100000
Ha : > 100000
Test statistic = t
= ( - ) / s/ n
= (103157 - 100000) / 227498 / 200
= 0.196
p(Z >0.196 ) = 1-P (Z < 0.196 ) = 0.4223
P-value = 0.422
= 0.10
p= 0.4223 ≥ 0.10
Do not reject the null hypothesis .
Hence, we may conclude that the average Has not , increased and the probability that our conclusion is correct is at least 42.2% percent .