In: Economics
True false or uncertain? and why?
According to the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis, developing countries face a long-run decline in their net barter terms-of-trade vis-à-vis industrialized countries.
ANSWER- THIS STATMENT IS TRUE.
Until the price spike of 2007/08, the conventional
wisdom concerning agricultural
commodity prices was that they followed a secular decline of around
1 percent per year
in real terms or relative to the price of manufactures. The decline
in relative prices was
seen as carrying over more generally into a downward trend in the
net barter terms of
trade of developing countries dependent on commodity exports. This
followed the
prediction of Prebisch and Singer from 1950 of a decline in the
terms of trade for
commodities with income growth. One underlying cause was the
working of Angel’s Law
that the demand for agricultural products rises less than the
demand for manufactured
goods with economic growth and rising incomes. The resulting
sluggish demand for
agricultural products and depressed prices, at least until 2007/08,
led to a pessimistic
view of the economic prospects for the agricultural sector and for
commodity exporting
developing countries.