In: Finance
Use the following information on states of the economy and stock returns to calculate the standard deviation of returns. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places.)
State of Economy | Probability of State of Economy |
Security
Return if State Occurs |
||||||||||
Recession | .35 | −10.00 | % | |||||||||
Normal | .50 | 7.00 | ||||||||||
Boom | .15 | 17.00 | ||||||||||
Expected return=Respective return*Respective probability
=(0.35*-10)+(0.5*7)+(0.15*17)
=2.55%
probability | Return | probability*(Return-Expected Return)^2 |
0.35 | -10 | 0.35*(-10-2.55)^2=55.125875 |
0.5 | 7 | 0.5*(7-2.55)^2=9.90125 |
0.15 | 17 | 0.15*(17-2.55)^2=31.320375 |
Total=96.3475% |
Standard deviation=[Total probability*(Return-Expected Return)^2/Total probability]^(1/2)
=(96.3475)^(1/2)
=9.82%(Approx)