In: Statistics and Probability
A certain flight arrives on time 88 percent of the time. Suppose 120 flights are randomly selected. Use the normal approximation to the binomial to approximate the probability that (a) exactly 114 flights are on time. (b) at least 114 flights are on time. (c) fewer than 97 flights are on time. (d) between 97 and 105, inclusive are on time.
(a)
P(114)equals=nothing
(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
(b)
P(Xgreater than or equals≥114)equals=nothing
(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
(c)
P(Xless than<97)equals=nothing
(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
(d)
P(97less than or equals≤Xless than or equals≤1105)equals=nothing
Solution:
Given in the question
P(Arrives on time) = 0.88
Number of sample = 120
By using the normal approximation to the binomial
distribution
Mean()
= n*p = 0.88*120 = 105.6
Standard deviation()
= sqrt(n*p*(1-p)) = sqrt(120*0.88*0.12) = 3.56
Solution(a)
We need to calculate probability of exactly 114 flight on time,
according to normal distribution, P(X=114) = 0, because normal
distribution provide us cumulative probability not for exact raw
score.
Solution(b)
We need to calculate at least 114 flights are on time
P(X>=114) = ?
First, we will calculate Z-score which can be calculated as
Z= (X-)/
= (114-105.6)/3.56 = 2.36
From Z table we found a p-value
P(X>=114) = 0.0091
So there is a 0.91% probability that at least 114 flights are on
time.
Solution(c)
We need to calculate fewer than 97 flights are on time
P(X<97) =?
First, we will calculate Z-score which can be calculated as
Z= (X-)/
= (97-105.6)/3.56 = -2.42
From Z table we found a p-value
P(X<97) = 0.0078
So there is a 0.78% probability that fewer than 97 flights are on
time.
Solution(d)
We need to calculate between 97 and 105 flights are on time
P(97<=X<=105) =P(X<=105) - P(X<=97)
First, we will calculate Z-score which can be calculated as
Z= (X-)/
= (97-105.6)/3.56 = -2.42
Z= (X-)/
= (105-105.6)/3.56 = -0.17
From Z table we found a p-value
P(97<=X<=105) =P(X<=105) - P(X<=97) = 0.4325 - 0.0078 =
0.4247
So there is a 42.47% probability that at least 114 flights are on
time.