In: Finance
Hectoritis Corp. currently has an FCF of $13 million. A reputable analyst estimates that this FCF... Hectoritis Corp. currently has an FCF of $13 million. A reputable analyst estimates that this FCF is anticipated to increase by 12% per year for the next 5 years. The analyst esti- mates that at the end of 5 years the company’s terminal value will be based on the year-5 FCF and a long-term FCF growth rate of 4%. Suppose the Hectoritis ?= 1.5, the rf = 3%, the market risk premium E(rM )–rf = 14%, and Hectoritis has 8 million shares outstanding. Assume all cash flows occur at year end. what is terminal value in year 5?
Step-1:Calculation of Year 5 FCF | |||||||||||
Year 5 FCF | = | Current FCF x (1+g)^n | Where, | ||||||||
= | 1,30,00,000 | x (1+0.12)^5 | Current FCF | 1,30,00,000 | |||||||
= | $ 2,29,10,441.88 | g | 12% | ||||||||
n | 5 | ||||||||||
Step-2:Calculation of Required return to be used as discount rate | |||||||||||
As per Capital Asset pricing Model, | |||||||||||
Required Return | = | Risk free rate+Beta*amrket risk premium | |||||||||
= | 3% | + | 1.5 | x | 14% | ||||||
= | 24% | ||||||||||
Step-3:Calculation of Terminal Value in Year 5 | |||||||||||
Terminal Value in Year 5 | = | FCF5*(1+g)/(Ke-g) | Where, | ||||||||
= | 22910441.88*(1+0.04)/(0.24-0.04) | FCF5 | $ 2,29,10,441.88 | ||||||||
= | $ 11,91,34,297.78 | g | 4% | ||||||||
Ke | 24% | ||||||||||
Thus, Terminal Value in Year 5 is | $ 11,91,34,297.78 | ||||||||||
or, | $ 119.13 | Million | |||||||||