In: Finance
For the coming year you have determined that the following possibilities are most likely for stock A:
| 
 Economic State  | 
 Probability  | 
 Return  | 
| 
 Good  | 
 0.60  | 
 12  | 
| 
 Bad  | 
 0.40  | 
 -2  | 
What is the expected return for stock A?
Expected return is probability weighted return.
E(R) = w1 * r1 + w2 * r2
E(R) = 0.60 * 12% + 0.40 * -2%
E(R) = 7.20% + (-0.80%)
E(R) = 6.40%