In: Statistics and Probability
When σ is unknown and the sample is of size n ≥ 30, there are two methods for computing confidence intervals for μ.
Method 1: Use the Student's t distribution with
d.f. = n − 1.
This is the method used in the text. It is widely employed in
statistical studies. Also, most statistical software packages use
this method.
Method 2: When n ≥ 30, use the sample standard
deviation s as an estimate for σ, and then use
the standard normal distribution.
This method is based on the fact that for large samples, s
is a fairly good approximation for σ. Also, for large
n, the critical values for the Student's t
distribution approach those of the standard normal
distribution.
Consider a random sample of size n = 36, with sample mean x = 45.7 and sample standard deviation s = 6.0.
(a) Compute 90%, 95%, and 99% confidence intervals for μ using Method 1 with a Student's t distribution. Round endpoints to two digits after the decimal.
90% | 95% | 99% | |
lower limit | |||
upper limit |
(b) Compute 90%, 95%, and 99% confidence intervals for μ
using Method 2 with the standard normal distribution. Use
s as an estimate for σ. Round endpoints to two
digits after the decimal.
90% | 95% | 99% | |
lower limit | |||
upper limit |
(c) Now consider a sample size of 71. Compute 90%, 95%, and 99%
confidence intervals for μ using Method 1 with a Student's
t distribution. Round endpoints to two digits after the
decimal.
90% | 95% | 99% | |
lower limit | |||
upper limit |
(d) Compute 90%, 95%, and 99% confidence intervals for μ
using Method 2 with the standard normal distribution. Use
s as an estimate for σ. Round endpoints to two
digits after the decimal.
90% | 95% | 99% | |
lower limit | |||
upper limit |
a) At 90% confidence level the critical value is t* = 1.69
The 90% confidence interval is
+/- t* * s/
= 45.7 +/- 1.69 * 6/
= 45.7 +/- 1.69
= 44.01, 47.39
Lower limit = 44.01
Upper limit = 47.39
At 95% confidence level the critical value is t* = 2.03
The 95% confidence interval is
+/- t* * s/
= 45.7 +/- 2.03 * 6/
= 45.7 +/- 2.03
= 43.67, 47.73
Lower limit = 43.67
Upper limit = 47.73
At 99% confidence level the critical value is t* = 2.724
The 99% confidence interval is
+/- t* * s/
= 45.7 +/- 2.724 * 6/
= 45.7 +/- 2.72
= 42.98, 48.42
Lower limit = 42.98
Upper limit = 48.42
b) At 90% confidence level the critical value is z* = 1.645
The 90% confidence interval is
+/- z* * s/
= 45.7 +/- 1.645 * 6/
= 45.7 +/- 1.645
= 44.055, 47.345
= 44.06, 47.35
Lower limit = 44.06
Upper limit = 47.35
At 95% confidence level the critical value is z* =1.96
The 95% confidence interval is
+/- z* * s/
= 45.7 +/- 1.96 * 6/
= 45.7 +/- 1.96
= 43.74, 47.66
Lower limit = 43.74
Upper limit = 47.66
At 99% confidence level the critical value is z* = 2.575
The 99% confidence interval is
+/- z* * s/
= 45.7 +/- 2.575 * 6/
= 45.7 +/- 2.575
= 43.125, 48.275
= 43.13, 48.28
Lower limit = 43.13
Upper limit = 48.28
c) At 90% confidence level the critical value is t* = 1.667
The 90% confidence interval is
+/- t* * s/
= 45.7 +/- 1.667 * 6/
= 45.7 +/- 1.19
= 44.51, 46.89
Lower limit = 44.51
Upper limit = 46.89
At 95% confidence level the critical value is t* = 1.994
The 95% confidence interval is
+/- t* * s/
= 45.7 +/- 1.994 * 6/
= 45.7 +/- 1.42
= 44.28, 47.12
Lower limit = 44.28
Upper limit = 47.12
At 99% confidence level the critical value is t* = 2.648
The 99% confidence interval is
+/- t* * s/
= 45.7 +/- 2.648 * 6/
= 45.7 +/- 1.89
= 43.81, 47.59
Lower limit = 43.81
Upper limit = 47.59
d) At 90% confidence level the critical value is z* = 1.645
The 90% confidence interval is
+/- z* * s/
= 45.7 +/- 1.645 * 6/
= 45.7 +/- 1.17
= 44.53, 46.87
Lower limit = 44.53
Upper limit = 46.87
At 95% confidence level the critical value is z* =1.96
The 95% confidence interval is
+/- z* * s/
= 45.7 +/- 1.96 * 6/
= 45.7 +/- 1.40
= 43.30, 47.10
Lower limit = 43.30
Upper limit = 47.10
At 99% confidence level the critical value is z* = 2.575
The 99% confidence interval is
+/- z* * s/
= 45.7 +/- 2.575 * 6/
= 45.7 +/- 1.83
= 43.87, 47.53
Lower limit = 43.87
Upper limit = 47.53