In: Finance
Daniel Sawyer, the CEO of the Sawyer Group, is initiating planning for the company's operations next year, and he wants you to forecast the firm's additional funds needed (AFN). The firm is operating at full capacity. Data for use in your forecast are shown below. Based on the AFN equation, what is the AFN for the coming year? Dollars are in millions.
Last year's sales = S0 | $350 | Last year's accounts payable | $40 |
Sales growth rate = g | 30% | Last year's notes payable | $50 |
Last year's total assets = A0* | $530 | Last year's accruals | $30 |
Last year's profit margin = PM | 5% | Target payout ratio | 60% |
given,
(in millions)
last year sales = S0 = $350
growth rate in sales = 30%
so Forecasted sales(S1) = last year sales + growth rate
S1 = 350 + 30% = $455
change in sales = forecasted sales(S1) - last year sales(S0)
S1 - S0 = 455 - 350 = $105
Given the firm is operating at full capacity
Last years total assets = A0* = $530
Accounts payable = $40
Accruals = $30
current level of liabilities = L0 = Payable + accruals = 40 + 30 = $70
profit margin = PM = 5%
target payout ratio = 60%
1 - payout ratio = retention ratio (b) = 1 - 0.06 = 0.4
Additional funds needed (AFN) = A0 x( change in sales / S0) - L0 x (change in sales / S0) - S1 x profit margin x retention ratio
AFN = 530 (105 / 350) - 70 (105 / 350) - 455 x 0.05 x 0.4
AFN = $159 - $21 - $9.1
= $128.9 million
(note: last years notes payable should not be taken into account, because it is not a spontaneous source of funds)