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A factor in determining the usefulness of an examination as a measure of demonstrated ability is...

A factor in determining the usefulness of an examination as a measure of demonstrated ability is the amount of spread that occurs in the grades. If the spread or variation of examination scores is very small, it usually means that the examination was either too hard or too easy. However, if the variance of scores is moderately large, then there is a definite difference in scores between "better," "average," and "poorer" students. A group of attorneys in a Midwest state has been given the task of making up this year's bar examination for the state. The examination has 500 total possible points, and from the history of past examinations, it is known that a standard deviation of around 60 points is desirable. Of course, too large or too small a standard deviation is not good. The attorneys want to test their examination to see how good it is. A preliminary version of the examination (with slight modifications to protect the integrity of the real examination) is given to a random sample of 20 newly graduated law students. Their scores give a sample standard deviation of 64 points. Using a 0.01 level of significance, test the claim that the population standard deviation for the new examination is 60 against the claim that the population standard deviation is different from 60.

(a) What is the level of significance?


State the null and alternate hypotheses.

Ho: σ = 60; H1: σ > 60Ho: σ = 60; H1: σ < 60    Ho: σ > 60; H1: σ = 60Ho: σ = 60; H1: σ ≠ 60


(b) Find the value of the chi-square statistic for the sample. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)


What are the degrees of freedom?


What assumptions are you making about the original distribution?

We assume a exponential population distribution.We assume a binomial population distribution.    We assume a normal population distribution.We assume a uniform population distribution.


(c) Find or estimate the P-value of the sample test statistic.

P-value > 0.1000.050 < P-value < 0.100    0.025 < P-value < 0.0500.010 < P-value < 0.0250.005 < P-value < 0.010P-value < 0.005


(d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis?

Since the P-value > α, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.Since the P-value > α, we reject the null hypothesis.    Since the P-value ≤ α, we reject the null hypothesis.Since the P-value ≤ α, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.


(e) Interpret your conclusion in the context of the application.

At the 1% level of significance, there is insufficient evidence to conclude that the standard deviation of test scores on the preliminary exam is different from 60.At the 1% level of significance, there is sufficient evidence to conclude that the standard deviation of test scores on the preliminary exam is different from 60.    


(f) Find a 99% confidence interval for the population variance. (Round your answers to two decimal places.)

lower limit
upper limit    


(g) Find a 99% confidence interval for the population standard deviation. (Round your answers to two decimal places.)

lower limit points
upper limit     points

Solutions

Expert Solution

Solution:

(a) What is the level of significance?

Answer: The level of significance is 0.01

State the null and alternative hypotheses.

Answer: Ho: σ = 60; H1: σ ≠ 60

(b) Find the value of the chi-square statistic for the sample. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
Answer:

What are the degrees of freedom?
Answer:

What assumptions are you making about the original distribution?

Answer: We assume a normal population distribution.

(c) Find or estimate the P-value of the sample test statistic.

Answer: P-value > 0.1000

(d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis?

Answer: Since the P-value > α, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

(e) Interpret your conclusion in the context of the application.

Answer: At the 1% level of significance, there is insufficient evidence to conclude that the standard deviation of test scores on the preliminary exam is different from 60.

(f) Find a 99% confidence interval for the population variance.

(g) Find a 99% confidence interval for the population standard deviation.


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