In: Statistics and Probability
Plain M&M: 15,14,15,15,14,16,15,14,15,16,16,14,15,14,15,15,14,17,17,15,15,17,14,16,14,16,17,13,16,16, 15, 17,6,14,16,15,13,15,17,15,17,14,15,14,16,14
Peanut Butter: 8,6,8,7,8,8,8,7,3,7,10,7,7,6,8,7,8,7,7,7,8,8,8,7,9,7,8,8,7,8,8,8,6,7,8,8,8,7,6,7,7,8,8,8,14,8,8,7,6
Skittles: 15,14,15,14,14,15,15,14,15,15,14,15,15,15,14,15,20,15,15,15,14,14,15,15,15,16,12,15,15,14, 14,15,14,15,14,14,14,13,16
**Assume that both Plain and Peanut M&M candies, and Skittles are normally distributed.
2. Suppose that M&M claims that each bag of Peanut M&Ms
should be 18 grams and Plain M&Ms should be 13.5 grams. Suppose
that Skittles claims that each bag contains 16 grams.
a. Test the claim that M&M is shorting its customers in
servings of Peanut M&Ms.
b. Test the claim that M&M is overfilling Plain serving bags of
M&Ms.
c. Test the claim that Skittles weights are different than
stated.
d. Discuss your choice of ?.
i. Why did you choose the ? you did?
ii. If you had chosen a different ?, would it have affected your
conclusion?
a)
Ho : µ = 18
Ha : µ < 18
(Left tail test)
Level of Significance , α =
0.05
sample std dev , s = √(Σ(X- x̅ )²/(n-1) )
= 1.3860
Sample Size , n = 49
Sample Mean, x̅ = ΣX/n =
7.5306
degree of freedom= DF=n-1= 48
Standard Error , SE = s/√n = 1.3860 / √
49 = 0.1980
t-test statistic= (x̅ - µ )/SE = ( 7.531
- 18 ) / 0.1980
= -52.88
p-Value = 0.0000 [Excel formula
=t.dist(t-stat,df) ]
Decision: p-value<α, Reject null hypothesis
Conclusion: There is enough evidence that M&M is shorting its
customers in servings of Peanut M&Ms
b)
Ho : µ = 13.5
Ha : µ > 13.5
(Right tail test)
Level of Significance , α =
0.05
sample std dev , s = √(Σ(X- x̅ )²/(n-1) )
= 1.7506
Sample Size , n = 46
Sample Mean, x̅ = ΣX/n =
14.9565
degree of freedom= DF=n-1= 45
Standard Error , SE = s/√n = 1.7506 / √
46 = 0.2581
t-test statistic= (x̅ - µ )/SE = ( 14.957
- 13.5 ) / 0.2581
= 5.64
p-Value = 0.0000 [Excel formula
=t.dist(t-stat,df) ]
Decision: p-value<α, Reject null hypothesis
Conclusion: There is enough evidence that M&M is overfilling Plain serving bags of M&Ms.
c)
Ho : µ = 16
Ha : µ ╪ 16
(Two tail test)
Level of Significance , α =
0.05
sample std dev , s = √(Σ(X- x̅ )²/(n-1) )
= 1.1506
Sample Size , n = 39
Sample Mean, x̅ = ΣX/n =
14.6923
degree of freedom= DF=n-1= 38
Standard Error , SE = s/√n = 1.1506 / √
39 = 0.1842
t-test statistic= (x̅ - µ )/SE = ( 14.692
- 16 ) / 0.1842
= -7.10
p-Value = 0.0000 [Excel formula
=t.dist(t-stat,df) ]
Decision: p-value<α, Reject null hypothesis
Conclusion: There is enough evidence that Skittles
weights are different than stated
d)
choice of ? = 0.01
e)
To avoid type 1 error
No it would not effect conclusion
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