In: Finance
Investors expect the following series of dividends from a particular common stock: Year 1 $0.95 Year 2 $1.03 Year 3 $1.18 Year 4 $1.24 Year 5 $1.32 After the 5th year, dividends will grow at a constant rate. If the required rate of return on the stock is 8% and the current market price is $47.86, what is the long-term rate of dividend growth expected by the market?
Let us Assume Price after 5 Years is X.
Value of Stock = PV of Cfs from it.
Year | CF | PVF @8% | Disc CF |
1 | $ 0.95 | 0.9259 | $ 0.88 |
2 | $ 1.03 | 0.8573 | $ 0.88 |
3 | $ 1.18 | 0.7938 | $ 0.94 |
4 | $ 1.24 | 0.7350 | $ 0.91 |
5 | $ 1.32 | 0.6806 | $ 0.90 |
5 | X | 0.6806 | 0.6806X |
Price of Stock | 4.51 + 0.6806X |
Given Stock Price = 47.86
Thus 0.6806X + 4.51 = 47.86
0.6806X = 47.86 - 4.51
= 43.35
X = 43.35 / 0.6806
= 63.69
P5 = D5(1+g) / [ Ke - g ]
D5 = Div after 5 Years
g = growth rate
Ke = required Rate
P5 =Price after 5 Years
63.69 = 1.32 (1+g) / [ 0.08 - g ]
63.69 (0.08 - g ) =1.32 + 1.32g
5.10 - 63.69g = 1.32 + 1.32g
63.69g + 1.32g = 5.10 - 1.32
= 3.78
65.01g = 3.78
g = 3.78 / 65.01
= 0.0581 i.e 5.81%
growth rate after 5 Years is 5.81%