In: Finance
XYZ has the following dividend forecast for the next three years: Year 1 2 3 Expected Dividend $1.00 2.00 2.50 After the third year, the dividend will grow at a constant rate of 5 percent per year. The required return is 10 percent. What is the value of the stock today?
| As per dividend discount method, current value of stock is the present value of future dividend from stock. | ||||||||||||
| Step-1:Calculation of Present value of next three years dividend | ||||||||||||
| Year | Dividend | Discount factor@10% | Present Value | |||||||||
| a | b | c=1.10^-a | d=b*c | |||||||||
| 1 | $ 1.00 | 0.9090909 | $ 0.91 | |||||||||
| 2 | $ 2.00 | 0.8264463 | $ 1.65 | |||||||||
| 3 | $ 2.50 | 0.7513148 | $ 1.88 | |||||||||
| Total | $ 4.44 | |||||||||||
| Step-2:Calculation of present value of future dividend at the end of Year 3 | ||||||||||||
| Present Value 3 Years from now | = | D3*(1+g)/(Ke-g) | Where, | |||||||||
| = | 2.50*(1+0.05)/(0.10-0.05) | D3 | $ 2.50 | |||||||||
| = | $ 52.50 | g | 5% | |||||||||
| Ke | 10% | |||||||||||
| Step-3:Calculation of present value of step-2 value | ||||||||||||
| Present Value | = | $ 52.50 | x | (1.10^-3) | ||||||||
| = | $ 52.50 | x | 0.751315 | |||||||||
| = | $ 39.44 | |||||||||||
| Step-4:Calculation of present value of all dividend | ||||||||||||
| Present Value | = | Present value of next three years dividend + Present Value of after three years dividend | ||||||||||
| = | $ 4.44 | + | $ 39.44 | |||||||||
| = | $ 43.88 | |||||||||||
| Thus, | ||||||||||||
| Curent Value of stock is | $ 43.88 | |||||||||||