In: Finance
The owner of a private firm has requested that you estimate the value of the firm so that it can be marketed for sale. The firm creates custom, made-to-order furniture. The firm’s most recent results are shown in Appendix A.
Furniture Company |
|
Income & FCF Analysis |
|
($ in thousands ) |
|
Most |
|
Recent |
|
Year |
|
Revenue |
$ 20,000 |
Cost of Goods Sold |
15,500 |
Gross Profit Margin |
4,500 |
Gross Profit Margin % |
22.5% |
General Operating Expenses |
2,000 |
Depreciation & Amortization |
500 |
Total Operating Expenses |
2,500 |
Interest Expenses |
1,000 |
Income before Taxes |
1,000 |
Taxes |
400 |
Tax Rate |
40.0% |
Net Income |
$ 600 |
Add: After Tax Interest Expense |
$ 600 |
Less: Capital Expenditures |
(1,000) |
Add: Depreciation |
500 |
Add: Decrease (Increase) in AR |
- - - |
Add: Decrease (Increase) in Inv |
|
Add: Increase (Decrease) in AP |
|
Unlevered Free Cash Flows |
$ 700 |
Management expects revenues, cost of goods sold, operating expenses, depreciation (and amortization), and capital expenditures to grow 20% annually for the next five years with taxes remaining at 40% for each year. Balance sheet items in the most recent year include $10 million of outstanding, interest-bearing debt and $10 million book value of equity. The outstanding debt is expected to remain constant for this analysis, and management anticipates no changes in working capital. Free cash flows are estimated to grow at 5% after the five year period.
Industry averages for market value of equity are three times book value, for beta are 1.30, and for market debt ratio are 20%. Average market multiple for the industry is 7 times net income, and the Treasury bond rate is assumed to be 7%.
Based on this information and the information covered in Unit 3, prepare a DCF and Market Multiple analysis (in Excel) to help the owner estimate firm value. Please make sure to include your calculations for the following items:
Annual Free Cash Flows
Cost of debt
Cost of equity
WACC
Terminal Value
Firm Value, Debt Value, and Equity Value
Would
the owner prefer the DCF or Market Multiple approach to valuation? Why?
Revenue |
20000 | 24000 | 28800 | 34560 | 41472 |
Cost of good sold | 15500 | 18600 | 22320 | 26784 | 32141 |
Gross profit margin |
4500 | 5400 | 6480 | 7776 | 9331 |
%G.P | 22.5% | 22.5% | 22.5% | 22.5% | 22.5% |
Operating expenses | 2000 | 2400 | 2880 | 3456 | 4147 |
Depreciation | 500 | 600 | 720 | 864 | 1037 |
Total operating expenses | 2500 | 3000 | 3600 | 4320 | 5184 |
Interest expense | 1000 | 1200 | 1440 | 1728 | 2074 |
Income before tax | 1000 | 1200 | 1440 | 1728 | 2073 |
Tax @40% | 400 | 480 | 576 | 691.2 | 829.2 |
Net income | 600 | 720 | 864 | 1036.8 | 1243.8 |
Add-:after tax expense | 600 | 720 | 864 | 1036.8 | 1243.8 |
Less-:capital expenditure | 1000 | 1200 | 1440 | 1728 | 2073 |
Add-: depreciation | 500 | 600 | 720 | 864 | 1037 |
Free cash flowa | 700 | 840 | 1008 | 12096 | 14516 |
Discount rate@7% | 0.934 | 0.873 | 0.816 | 0.763 | 0.713 |
Interest expense is considered as capital expenditure.
Total annual cash flows=21788
Cost of debt =intt(1-tax)
= .07(1-0.4) =4.2%
Wacc=cost of equity *weight of equity+cost of debt *weight of debt
Firm value= operating free cash flows/(1+wacc)t