In: Statistics and Probability
World Population Growth Rate |
World Fertility Rate Children per Woman |
||||||
1995 |
1.55 |
4.9 |
1965 |
||||
2005 |
1.25 |
4.8 |
1970 |
||||
2015 |
1.18 |
4.3 |
1975 |
||||
2017 |
1.1 |
3.8 |
1980 |
||||
3.6 |
1985 |
||||||
3.4 |
1990 |
||||||
3.1 |
1995 |
||||||
2.8 |
2000 |
||||||
2.7 |
2005 |
||||||
2.6 |
2010 |
When will the world reach the 2.2 children per woman zero population growth rate?
Regression
Regression Model
Year = 2070.952 – 49.568*Growth Rate
When X = 0
Year = 2070.952 – 49.568*0 = 2070.9 ~ 2071
Regression Model 2
Regression Model
Year = 2051.06 – 17.66* Fertility Rate Children per Woman
So, When Fertility Rate Children per Woman = 2.2
Year = 2051.06 – 17.66*2.2 = 2012.22
So, in Year 2012.22, Womens Fertility rate is expected to be 2.2 and
By 2071, World’s Population Growth would be 0.