In: Finance
TeeBee manufactures springs and related components for a variety of industrial and consumer end products. TB is evaluating a new business opportunity. In response to the growing health consciousness of the affluent aging baby boomer generation, a new concept in traction-associated exercise equipment is being developed. TB feels confident it can be a supplier of choice of the high quality springs needed for this new generation of equipment. TB has determined that its existing manufacturing facilities are not suitable for the manufacture of the type of spring needed. In order to evaluate whether to enter this market, TB needs to consider the return on investment in a new manufacturing facility. TB has identified two options for its potential new manufacturing site:
Option A: Renovation of an existing warehouse (economic life of 10 years)
Option B: Construction of a completely new facility (economic life of 20 years)
TB projects it will be able to sell 9,000 spring sets per year for the foreseeable future. Price per spring set is $699 (in year end 1 dollars). TB has employed a nominal discount rate of 9 percent on similar construction projects in the past. The following additional data have been collected. Assume all cash flows occur at the end of the year. Inflation is 3 percent per year.
Option A |
Option B |
|
Construction costs* |
$3,200,000 |
$10,000,000 |
Annual operating costs** |
||
Fixed |
$900,000** |
$880,000** |
Variable |
$575/spring set |
$525/spring set |
*Assume all construction costs are incurred in period 0.
**Assume all these operating costs are incremental and represent cash flows. These operating cost projections apply to the first year of operations. Cash costs (as well as revenues) are expected to increase with inflation. Inflation applies initially in year 2.
Required: Prepare a financial analysis of the two options and make a recommendation. Use the income statement to net cash flow format, reflecting EBITDA, EBIT, EBIAT, and NCF. To see some of the implications of the changes to the tax code enacted in 2017, do your analysis under both the old and the new tax code regimes, as outlined below.
old regime |
new regime |
|
Tax rate |
35% |
21% |
Depreciation expense recognition** |
Straight-line* |
Year 1 100%** |
|
||
*Straight line depreciation of construction costs over life of asset (term of project), no salvage value.
**Immediate expensing of construction costs. This change can most easily be accommodated by showing depreciation of 100% of the capital expenditure in year 1 of the project. Then, depreciation expense for the remaining years of the project is $0.
i) Net present value of option A under old regime: ΣPresent value of cash flow = 1,179,436
No | Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
i | Sales (Previous year*1.03) | 6,291,000 | 6,479,730 | 6,674,122 | 6,874,346 | 7,080,576 | 7,292,993 | 7,511,783 | 7,737,136 | 7,969,250 | 8,208,328 | |
ii | Variable cost (9000*575) | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | |
iii | Fixed cost (Previous year*1.03) | 900,000 | 927,000 | 954,810 | 983,454 | 1,012,958 | 1,043,347 | 1,074,647 | 1,106,886 | 1,140,093 | 1,174,296 | |
iv | EBITDA (i-ii-iii) | 216,000 | 377,730 | 544,312 | 715,892 | 892,618 | 1,074,646 | 1,262,136 | 1,455,250 | 1,654,157 | 1,859,032 | |
v | Depreciation (3.2million/10) | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | |
vi | EBIT (iv-v) | -104,000 | 57,730 | 224,312 | 395,892 | 572,618 | 754,646 | 942,136 | 1,135,250 | 1,334,157 | 1,539,032 | |
vii | Tax @ 35% (vi*0.35) | -36,400 | 20,206 | 78,509 | 138,562 | 200,416 | 264,126 | 329,748 | 397,338 | 466,955 | 538,661 | |
viii | EBIAT (vi-vii) | -67,600 | 37,524 | 145,803 | 257,330 | 372,202 | 490,520 | 612,388 | 737,912 | 867,202 | 1,000,371 | |
ix | Add back: Depreciation | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | 320,000 | |
x | NCF (viii+ix) | 252,400 | 357,524 | 465,803 | 577,330 | 692,202 | 810,520 | 932,388 | 1,057,912 | 1,187,202 | 1,320,371 | |
xi | Construction cost (Given) | -3,200,000 | ||||||||||
xii | Net cashflow (x+xi) | -3,200,000 | 252,400 | 357,524 | 465,803 | 577,330 | 692,202 | 810,520 | 932,388 | 1,057,912 | 1,187,202 | 1,320,371 |
xiii | PVF @ 9% | 1 | 0.9174 | 0.8417 | 0.7722 | 0.7084 | 0.6499 | 0.5962 | 0.547 | 0.5018 | 0.4604 | 0.4224 |
xiv | Present value of cash flow (xii*xiii) | -3,200,000 | 231,552 | 300,928 | 359,693 | 408,981 | 449,862 | 483,232 | 510,016 | 530,860 | 546,588 | 557,725 |
ii) Net present value of option B under old regime: ΣPresent value of cash flow = 3,287,466
No | Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
i | Sales (Previous year*1.03) | 6,291,000 | 6,479,730 | 6,674,122 | 6,874,346 | 7,080,576 | 7,292,993 | 7,511,783 | 7,737,136 | 7,969,250 | 8,208,328 | 8,454,578 | 8,708,215 | 8,969,461 | 9,238,545 | 9,515,701 | 9,801,172 | 10,095,207 | 10,398,063 | 10,710,005 | 11,031,305 | |
ii | Variable cost (9000*525) | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | |
iii | Fixed cost (Previous year*1.03) | 880,000 | 906,400 | 933,592 | 961,600 | 990,448 | 1,020,161 | 1,050,766 | 1,082,289 | 1,114,758 | 1,148,201 | 1,182,647 | 1,218,126 | 1,254,670 | 1,292,310 | 1,331,079 | 1,371,011 | 1,412,141 | 1,454,505 | 1,498,140 | 1,543,084 | |
iv | EBITDA (i-ii-iii) | 686,000 | 848,330 | 1,015,530 | 1,187,746 | 1,365,128 | 1,547,832 | 1,736,017 | 1,929,847 | 2,129,492 | 2,335,127 | 2,546,931 | 2,765,089 | 2,989,791 | 3,221,235 | 3,459,622 | 3,705,161 | 3,958,066 | 4,218,558 | 4,486,865 | 4,763,221 | |
v | Depreciation (10million/20) | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | |
vi | EBIT (iv-v) | 186,000 | 348,330 | 515,530 | 687,746 | 865,128 | 1,047,832 | 1,236,017 | 1,429,847 | 1,629,492 | 1,835,127 | 2,046,931 | 2,265,089 | 2,489,791 | 2,721,235 | 2,959,622 | 3,205,161 | 3,458,066 | 3,718,558 | 3,986,865 | 4,263,221 | |
vii | Tax @ 35% (vi*0.35) | 65,100 | 121,916 | 180,436 | 240,711 | 302,795 | 366,741 | 432,606 | 500,446 | 570,322 | 642,294 | 716,426 | 792,781 | 871,427 | 952,432 | 1,035,868 | 1,121,806 | 1,210,323 | 1,301,495 | 1,395,403 | 1,492,127 | |
viii | EBIAT (vi-vii) | 120,900 | 226,414 | 335,094 | 447,035 | 562,333 | 681,091 | 803,411 | 929,401 | 1,059,170 | 1,192,833 | 1,330,505 | 1,472,308 | 1,618,364 | 1,768,803 | 1,923,754 | 2,083,355 | 2,247,743 | 2,417,063 | 2,591,462 | 2,771,094 | |
ix | Add back: Depreciation | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | |
x | NCF (viii+ix) | 620,900 | 726,414 | 835,094 | 947,035 | 1,062,333 | 1,181,091 | 1,303,411 | 1,429,401 | 1,559,170 | 1,692,833 | 1,830,505 | 1,972,308 | 2,118,364 | 2,268,803 | 2,423,754 | 2,583,355 | 2,747,743 | 2,917,063 | 3,091,462 | 3,271,094 | |
xi | Construction cost (given) | -10,000,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||
xii | Net cashflow (x+xi) | -10,000,000 | 620,900 | 726,414 | 835,094 | 947,035 | 1,062,333 | 1,181,091 | 1,303,411 | 1,429,401 | 1,559,170 | 1,692,833 | 1,830,505 | 1,972,308 | 2,118,364 | 2,268,803 | 2,423,754 | 2,583,355 | 2,747,743 | 2,917,063 | 3,091,462 | 3,271,094 |
xiii | PVF @ 9% | 1 | 0.9174 | 0.8417 | 0.7722 | 0.7084 | 0.6499 | 0.5962 | 0.547 | 0.5018 | 0.4604 | 0.4224 | 0.3875 | 0.3555 | 0.3261 | 0.2992 | 0.2745 | 0.2518 | 0.231 | 0.2119 | 0.1944 | 0.1783 |
xiv | Present value of cash flow (xii*xiii) | -10,000,000 | 569,614 | 611,423 | 644,860 | 670,880 | 690,410 | 704,166 | 712,966 | 717,273 | 717,842 | 715,053 | 709,321 | 701,155 | 690,799 | 678,826 | 665,320 | 650,489 | 634,729 | 618,126 | 600,980 | 583,236 |
iii) Net present value of option A under new regime: ΣPresent value of cash flow = 1,865,636
No | Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
i | Sales (Previous year*1.03) | 6,291,000 | 6,479,730 | 6,674,122 | 6,874,346 | 7,080,576 | 7,292,993 | 7,511,783 | 7,737,136 | 7,969,250 | 8,208,328 | |
ii | Variable cost (9000*575) | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | 5,175,000 | |
iii | Fixed cost (Previous year*1.03) | 900,000 | 927,000 | 954,810 | 983,454 | 1,012,958 | 1,043,347 | 1,074,647 | 1,106,886 | 1,140,093 | 1,174,296 | |
iv | EBITDA (i-ii-iii) | 216,000 | 377,730 | 544,312 | 715,892 | 892,618 | 1,074,646 | 1,262,136 | 1,455,250 | 1,654,157 | 1,859,032 | |
v | Depreciation | 3,200,000 | ||||||||||
vi | EBIT (iv-v) | -2,984,000 | 377,730 | 544,312 | 715,892 | 892,618 | 1,074,646 | 1,262,136 | 1,455,250 | 1,654,157 | 1,859,032 | |
vii | Tax @ 21% (vi*0.21) | -626,640 | 79,323 | 114,306 | 150,337 | 187,450 | 225,676 | 265,049 | 305,603 | 347,373 | 390,397 | |
viii | EBIAT (vi-vii) | -2,357,360 | 298,407 | 430,006 | 565,555 | 705,168 | 848,970 | 997,087 | 1,149,647 | 1,306,784 | 1,468,635 | |
ix | Add back: Depreciation | 3,200,000 | ||||||||||
x | NCF (viii+ix) | 842,640 | 298,407 | 430,006 | 565,555 | 705,168 | 848,970 | 997,087 | 1,149,647 | 1,306,784 | 1,468,635 | |
xi | Construction cost (given) | -3,200,000 | ||||||||||
xii | Net cashflow (x+xi) | -3,200,000 | 842,640 | 298,407 | 430,006 | 565,555 | 705,168 | 848,970 | 997,087 | 1,149,647 | 1,306,784 | 1,468,635 |
xiii | PVF @ 9% | 1 | 0.9174 | 0.8417 | 0.7722 | 0.7084 | 0.6499 | 0.5962 | 0.547 | 0.5018 | 0.4604 | 0.4224 |
xiv | Present value of cash flow (xii*xiii) | -3,200,000 | 773,038 | 251,169 | 332,051 | 400,639 | 458,289 | 506,156 | 545,407 | 576,893 | 601,643 | 620,351 |
iv) Net present value of option B under new regime: ΣPresent value of cash flow = 6,134,551
No | Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
i | Sales (Previous year*1.03) | 6,291,000 | 6,479,730 | 6,674,122 | 6,874,346 | 7,080,576 | 7,292,993 | 7,511,783 | 7,737,136 | 7,969,250 | 8,208,328 | 8,454,578 | 8,708,215 | 8,969,461 | 9,238,545 | 9,515,701 | 9,801,172 | 10,095,207 | 10,398,063 | 10,710,005 | 11,031,305 | |
ii | Variable cost (9000*525) | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | 4,725,000 | |
iii | Fixed cost (Previous year*1.03) | 880,000 | 906,400 | 933,592 | 961,600 | 990,448 | 1,020,161 | 1,050,766 | 1,082,289 | 1,114,758 | 1,148,201 | 1,182,647 | 1,218,126 | 1,254,670 | 1,292,310 | 1,331,079 | 1,371,011 | 1,412,141 | 1,454,505 | 1,498,140 | 1,543,084 | |
iv | EBITDA (i-ii-iii) | 686,000 | 848,330 | 1,015,530 | 1,187,746 | 1,365,128 | 1,547,832 | 1,736,017 | 1,929,847 | 2,129,492 | 2,335,127 | 2,546,931 | 2,765,089 | 2,989,791 | 3,221,235 | 3,459,622 | 3,705,161 | 3,958,066 | 4,218,558 | 4,486,865 | 4,763,221 | |
v | Depreciation | 10,000,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||
vi | EBIT (iv-v) | -9,314,000 | 848,330 | 1,015,530 | 1,187,746 | 1,365,128 | 1,547,832 | 1,736,017 | 1,929,847 | 2,129,492 | 2,335,127 | 2,546,931 | 2,765,089 | 2,989,791 | 3,221,235 | 3,459,622 | 3,705,161 | 3,958,066 | 4,218,558 | 4,486,865 | 4,763,221 | |
vii | Tax @ 21% (vi*0.21) | -1,955,940 | 178,149 | 213,261 | 249,427 | 286,677 | 325,045 | 364,564 | 405,268 | 447,193 | 490,377 | 534,856 | 580,669 | 627,856 | 676,459 | 726,521 | 778,084 | 831,194 | 885,897 | 942,242 | 1,000,276 | |
viii | EBIAT (vi-vii) | -7,358,060 | 670,181 | 802,269 | 938,319 | 1,078,451 | 1,222,787 | 1,371,453 | 1,524,579 | 1,682,299 | 1,844,750 | 2,012,075 | 2,184,420 | 2,361,935 | 2,544,776 | 2,733,101 | 2,927,077 | 3,126,872 | 3,332,661 | 3,544,623 | 3,762,945 | |
ix | Add back: Depreciation | 10,000,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||
x | NCF (vii+ix) | 2,641,940 | 670,181 | 802,269 | 938,319 | 1,078,451 | 1,222,787 | 1,371,453 | 1,524,579 | 1,682,299 | 1,844,750 | 2,012,075 | 2,184,420 | 2,361,935 | 2,544,776 | 2,733,101 | 2,927,077 | 3,126,872 | 3,332,661 | 3,544,623 | 3,762,945 | |
xi | Construction cost (given) | -10,000,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||
xii | Net cashflow (x+xi) | -10,000,000 | 2,641,940 | 670,181 | 802,269 | 938,319 | 1,078,451 | 1,222,787 | 1,371,453 | 1,524,579 | 1,682,299 | 1,844,750 | 2,012,075 | 2,184,420 | 2,361,935 | 2,544,776 | 2,733,101 | 2,927,077 | 3,126,872 | 3,332,661 | 3,544,623 | 3,762,945 |
xiii | PVF @ 9% | 1 | 0.9174 | 0.8417 | 0.7722 | 0.7084 | 0.6499 | 0.5962 | 0.547 | 0.5018 | 0.4604 | 0.4224 | 0.3875 | 0.3555 | 0.3261 | 0.2992 | 0.2745 | 0.2518 | 0.231 | 0.2119 | 0.1944 | 0.1783 |
xiv | Present value of cash flow (xii*xiii) | -10,000,000 | 2,423,716 | 564,091 | 619,512 | 664,705 | 700,885 | 729,026 | 750,185 | 765,034 | 774,530 | 779,222 | 779,679 | 776,561 | 770,227 | 761,397 | 750,236 | 737,038 | 722,307 | 706,191 | 689,075 | 670,933 |
NPV | Option A | Option B |
Old regime | 1,179,436 | 3,287,466 |
New regime | 1,865,636 | 6,134,551 |