In: Finance
Use the following summary financial statement information and forecasts provided by TTU Value-Metrics to answer the valuation questions in this section about Hi-Flyer Corp. which has a December 31 fiscal year end.
(in thousands except per share data) | Actual | Estimated | Estimated | Estimated |
2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | |
Net Income | 225,000 | 200,000 | 215,000 | 230,000 |
Total Dividends Paid | 48,000 | 20,000 | 25,000 | 30,000 |
Book Value of Equity | 1,500,000 | |||
Total Liabilities | 1,000,000 | |||
CFFO | 400,000 | 150,000 | 200,000 | 250,000 |
CFFI | -250,000 | -100,000 | -200,000 | -200,000 |
Dividends Per Share | 0.48 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.30 |
Shares Outstanding (12/31/17) | 100,000 | |||
Cost of Equity | 0.14 | |||
Cost of Debt | 0.08 | |||
WACC(at) | 0.11 |
Using the above forecasts, determine the intrinsic value of High Flyer shares as at December 31, 2017. Use the discounted dividends model; assume the forecast dividend payment in 2021 is $0.35 and that it will growth by 8% per year in perpetuity. The appropriate intrinsic value (Model Price) at 12/31/2017 is
Discount rate | 14.0000% | ||
Cash flows | Year | Discounted CF= cash flows/(1+rate)^year | Cumulative cash flow |
- | 0 | - | - |
0.200 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.18 |
0.250 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.368 |
0.300 | 3 | 0.20 | 0.57 |
5.833 | 3 | 3.94 | 4.51 |
terminal value = 0.30/(0.14-0.08)
value per share = 4.51