Question

In 1997 Michelle Green started Green-Log Manufacturing, a company dedicated to manufacturing environmental friendly man made logs that can be burned in fire places, fire pits in the backyard, and when camping. The logs are made from environmental friendly products like cardboard and clean wax and emit fewer greenhouse gases and less harsh chemicals. The logs come in three pound and five pound sizes. Green-logs are also available with citronella to ward off mosquitos. The Green-Logs have been well received. Revenue and profits have grown steadily.

Based on the recommendation from her sales and marketing department Ms. Green is considering adding a new product line of Green-Log fire starters. These fire starters would be ideal for the outdoor market of camping, fishing, backpacking, and tailgating. Ms. Green has asked her sales and marketing team to come up with a sales forecast for units and pricing. She has also asked her manufacturing team to come up with alternatives for the production of the fire starters including what equipment is needed and what the projected costs would be.

The sales and marketing team hired Smith and Smith Consulting to conduct a market survey. The total cost for this consulting was $32,500. Based on the survey and their own experience the sales and marketing has provided a sales forecast. The suggested price of the fire starter is $2.50 per starter and they would be sold as a four pack for $10.00. The unit sales forecast is 20,000 4-packs in year 1, 45,000 in year 2, 60,000 in year 3, 75,000 in year 4, and then increasing by 5,000 each year thereafter. Sales and marketing expenses are expected to be 10% of total revenue.

The production team forecasts that the fixed costs needed for the fire starter production line will be $90,000 per year. Variable costs for materials (cardboard, wood shavings, wax, packaging, etc.) will be $0.85 per unit or $3.40 per four pack. The labor and maintenance costs will vary based on what equipment will be purchased.

There are two brands of equipment that will do the job; The ABC brand and the XYZ brand. The ABC brand is more expensive, but higher quality and more efficient. It will cost $525,000 plus an additional $30,000 for shipping and installation. The equipment would be depreciated to zero over 5 years using straight line depreciation. It is expected that the equipment would last for 8 years and would be sold then for $55,000. Maintenance of the ABC equipment would cost $5,000 per year but every 3 years the equipment would need an overhaul that would increase the cost to $75,000 for that year. Since the ABC equipment is more efficient the variable labor cost would be $0.60 per four pack.

The XYZ brand is less expensive. It will cost $395,000 plus an additional $40,000 for shipping and installation. The equipment would be depreciated to zero over 5 years using straight line depreciation. It is expected that the equipment would last for 8 years and would be sold then for $35,000. Maintenance of the ABC equipment would cost $10,000 per year but every 3 years the equipment would need an overhaul that would increase the cost to $85,000 for that year. The variable labor cost with the XYZ brand equipment would be $0.80 per four pack. The increase in working capital (accounts receivable and inventory) is expected to be $60,000 at the beginning of the project and will be the same for both machines. The company’s cost of capital is 14% and its tax rate is 40%. Since her production team believes that both brands of equipment will last for eight years Michelle wants this analyzed as an eight year project.

Michelle has always believed in buying quality so she is leaning towards the ABC brand equipment. But after hearing that you have learned about capital budgeting in your Finance class at UVU she wants to take advantage of your expertise. Michelle has asked you to analyze her choices and give her some advice on which option would provide the best financial outcome for Green-Log Manufacturing.

Prepare an analysis and professional report for Michelle. The report should be professionally written and include a two page letter, plus attached schedules. The letter should explain what analytical techniques you are using, why you are using those techniques, what the results show, what you would recommend to Michelle and why. Make sure that the letter is well organized and professionally written. Also make sure that the letter includes the following:

1. The cash flows associated with the different equipment brands for each year of the project.

2. The PB period, Discounted PB, IRR, and NPV for the two alternatives.

3. Your recommendation of which brand of equipment should be purchased.

4. Attach to your letter schedules that show your analysis and your work. Please submit files. A Word file with your letter and an Excel file with your analysis.

Answer 1

		Present value of Cash flow=(Cash flow)/((1+i)^N)
		i=discount rate=cot of capital=14%=0.14
		N=year of Cash Flow
		ANALYSIS OF CASH FLOW FOR ABC BRAND
		Cost of consulting $32,500is a sunkcost and not relevant for this analysis
		Initial Cash Flow:
		Cost of machine	$525,000
		Shipping and installation	$30,000
		Total Initial outlay	$555,000
		After tax Salvage Value	$33,000	55000*(1-0.4)
		Annual Cash Flow:
	N	Year	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
	a	Sales in Units(Machine ABC)	20,000	45000	60000	75000	80000	85000	90000	95000
	b=a*$10	Sales Revenue	$200,000	$450,000	$600,000	$750,000	$800,000	$850,000	$900,000	$950,000
		ANALYSIS OF CASH FLOW FOR XYZ BRAND
		Cost of consulting $32,500is a sunkcost and not relevant for this analysis
		Initial Cash Flow:
		Cost of machine	$395,000
		Shipping and installation	$40,000
		Total Initial outlay	$435,000
		After tax Salvage Value	$21,000	35000*(1-0.4)
		Annual Cash Flow:
	N	Year	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
	a	Sales in Units(Machine XYZ)	20,000	45000	60000	75000	80000	85000	90000	95000
	b=a*$10	Sales Revenue	$200,000	$450,000	$600,000	$750,000	$800,000	$850,000	$900,000	$950,000
			PB(years)	Discounted PB(years)	IRR	NPV
		Equipment ABC	4.21	6.23	20.40%	$156,956
		Equipment XYZ	4.02	5.59	23.23%	$188,089
		Equipment XYZ should be selected
		It has higher NPV and higher IRR