In: Economics
Critically explain the main assumption of Black-Scholes model and why the model is so popular
The Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model is an approach used for
calculating the value of a stock option. It can be used to
calculate values of both call and put options.
There are several assumptions underlying the Black-Scholes
model.
Constant volatility. The most
significant assumption is that volatility, a measure of how much a
stock can be expected to move in the near-term, is a constant over
time. While volatility can be relatively constant in very short
term, it is never constant in longer term. Some advanced option
valuation models substitute Black-Schole's constant volatility with
stochastic-process generated estimates.
Efficient markets. This
assumption of the Black-Scholes model suggests that people cannot
consistently predict the direction of the market or an individual
stock. The Black-Scholes model assumes stocks move in a manner
referred to as a random walk. Random walk means that at any given
moment in time, the price of the underlying stock can go up or down
with the same probability. The price of a stock in time t+1 is
independent from the price in time t.
No dividends. Another assumption
is that the underlying stock does not pay dividends during the
option's life. In the real world, most companies pay dividends to
their share holders. The basic Black-Scholes model was later
adjusted for dividends, so there is a workaround for this. This
assumption relates to the basic Black-Scholes formula. A common way
of adjusting the Black-Scholes model for dividends is to subtract
the discounted value of a future dividend from the stock price.
Interest rates
constant and
known. The same like with the volatility, interest
rates are also assumed to be constant in the Black-Scholes model.
The Black-Scholes model uses the risk-free rate to represent this
constant and known rate. In the real world, there is no such thing
as a risk-free rate, but it is possible to use the U.S. Government
Treasury Bills 30-day rate since the U. S. government is deemed to
be credible enough. However, these treasury rates can change in
times of increased volatility.
Lognormally distributed
returns. The Black-Scholes model assumes that
returns on the underlying stock are normally distributed. This
assumption is reasonable in the real world.
European-style options. The Black-Scholes model assumes
European-style options which can only be exercised on the
expiration date. American-style options can be exercised at any
time during the life of the option, making american options more
valuable due to their greater flexibility.
No commissions
and transaction
costs. The Black-Scholes model assumes that there
are no fees for buying and selling options and stocks and no
barriers to trading.
Liquidity. The Black-Scholes model assumes that
markets are perfectly liquid and it is possible to purchase or sell
any amount of stock or options or their fractions at any given
time.