In: Finance
At this point, the demand in Mexico is picking up nicely. Your company is currently repatriating 47 million pesos per year from Mexico through the ESL class offering and English learning material sales. In addition your company is also importing Spanish learning material packages produced in Mexico and the company needs to pay about 7 million pesos a year from an independent subcontractor located in Mexico. Given recent exchange rate volatility increase, you are asked to identify a good alternative to hedge your company’s transaction exposure.
Based on the following information, please calculate the amounts you would have received based on the following information. You have alternatives of using forward hedge, money market hedge, futures and options. Based on your analysis and calculation, which hedging alternative will you recommend?
Summary of market information |
||
Spot rate |
Bid |
Ask |
$.051 |
$0.06 |
|
Forward contract information |
Bid |
Ask |
USD per peso |
$0.047 |
$0.057 |
Money market rate information |
Bid (borrowing) |
Ask (lending) |
Annual Interest rate for Peso |
5.1% |
7% |
Annual Interest rate for USD |
2.5% |
3.7% |
Option Information American Option |
Call option |
Put option |
Strike price ($) |
$.0515 |
$.0515 |
Option premium (% of exercise price) |
2% |
2.5% |
Option premium ($) per peso |
0.00103 |
0.0012875 |
Total premium ($) per contract |
$515 |
$643.75 |
Futures Contract Information |
Bid |
Ask |
USD per peso 500,000 pesos per contract |
$0.048 |
$ 0.058 |
Net Remittance at spot rate
Repatriation 4,70,00,000.00
To be paid against import
(70,00,000.00)
Net Remittance in pesos
4,00,00,000.00
Spot Bid rate
$
0.051
Net Remittance in USD $
20,40,000.00
Option 1 Enter into Forward contract for purchasing USD after one
year
Forward contract Bid Rate
$
0.0470
Net Remittance of pesos
4,00,00,000.00
Net Remittance in USD $
18,80,000.00
Foreign Exchange Loss
Remittance at spot rate $
20,40,000.00
Remittance in case of enter into forward contract
$ 18,80,000.00
Net Loss $
1,60,000.00
Option 2 Enter into Money market product
Strategy will be :
Borrow pesos now at lending rate and convert it into USD at spot
rate and invest the converted amount in USD
Net proceeding out of borrowing
Borrowing amount (realisable value after one year)
4,00,00,000.00
Interest charge @ 7% per annum on lending
(28,00,000.00)
Net proceedings 3,72,00,000.00
Convert into USD at spot rate @0.051
$ 18,97,200.00
Invest in USD and earn interest @ 2.5%
$
47,430.00
Total proceedings at the yearend $
19,44,630.00
Foreign Exchange Loss
Remittance at spot rate $
20,40,000.00
Remittance in case money market product used
$ 19,44,630.00
Net Loss
$
95,370.00
Option 3 Buy put option contract for selling pesos after one year @
0.0515
No of pesos per contract
5,00,000.00
No of Contract (40000000/500000)
80.00
Premium amount $643.75 per contract
$ (51,500.00)
Proceedings at year end @ 0.0515 $
20,60,000.00
Net proceedings net of premium $
20,08,500.00
Foreign Exchange Loss
Remittance at spot rate $
20,40,000.00
Remittance in case money market product used
$ 20,08,500.00
Net Loss
$
31,500.00
Option 4 Entering into a future contract to buy USD at bid rate $
0.048 per peso
Net proceedings in case of entering into future contract
19,20,000.000
Foreign Exchange Loss
Remittance at spot rate $
20,40,000.00
Remittance in case money market product used
$ 19,20,000.00
Net Loss $
1,20,000.00
Answer : Option 3 i.e. Buying put option contract is best option
amoungst all option availble as foreign exchange hedging loss is
lowest in case of this hedging option
Net Remittance at spot rate | ||
Repatriation | 4,70,00,000.00 | |
To be paid against import | (70,00,000.00) | |
Net Remittance in pesos | 4,00,00,000.00 | |
Spot Bid rate | $ 0.051 | |
Net Remittance in USD | $ 20,40,000.00 | |
Option 1 | Enter into Forward contract for purchasing USD after one year | |
Forward contract Bid Rate | $ 0.0470 | |
Net Remittance of pesos | 4,00,00,000.00 | |
Net Remittance in USD | $ 18,80,000.00 | |
Foreign Exchange Loss | ||
Remittance at spot rate | $ 20,40,000.00 | |
Remittance in case of enter into forward contract | $ 18,80,000.00 | |
Net Loss | $ 1,60,000.00 | |
Option 2 | Enter into Money market product | |
Strategy will be : | ||
Borrow pesos now at lending rate and convert it into USD at spot rate and invest the converted amount in USD | ||
Net proceeding out of borrowing | ||
Borrowing amount (realisable value after one year) | 4,00,00,000.00 | |
Interest charge @ 7% per annum on lending | (28,00,000.00) | |
Net proceedings | 3,72,00,000.00 | |
Convert into USD at spot rate @0.051 | $ 18,97,200.00 | |
Invest in USD and earn interest @ 2.5% | $ 47,430.00 | |
Total proceedings at the yearend | $ 19,44,630.00 | |
Foreign Exchange Loss | ||
Remittance at spot rate | $ 20,40,000.00 | |
Remittance in case money market product used | $ 19,44,630.00 | |
Net Loss | $ 95,370.00 | |
Option 3 | Buy put option contract for selling pesos after one year @ 0.0515 | |
No of pesos per contract | 5,00,000.00 | |
No of Contract (40000000/500000) | 80.00 | |
Premium amount $643.75 per contract | $ (51,500.00) | |
Proceedings at year end @ 0.0515 | $ 20,60,000.00 | |
Net proceedings net of premium | $ 20,08,500.00 | |
Foreign Exchange Loss | ||
Remittance at spot rate | $ 20,40,000.00 | |
Remittance in case money market product used | $ 20,08,500.00 | |
Net Loss | $ 31,500.00 | |
Option 4 | Entering into a future contract to buy USD at bid rate $ 0.048 per peso | |
Net proceedings in case of entering into future contract | 19,20,000.000 | |
Foreign Exchange Loss | ||
Remittance at spot rate | $ 20,40,000.00 | |
Remittance in case money market product used | $ 19,20,000.00 | |
Net Loss | $ 1,20,000.00 | |
Answer : | Option 3 i.e. Buying put option contract is best option amoungst all option availble as foreign exchange hedging loss is lowest in case of this hedging option | |