In: Statistics and Probability
The following data represents the number of children born in individual pregnancies in 1996 and 2006:
# of children | 1996 frequency | 2006 frequency |
one child | 3671455 | 3971276 |
twins | 100750 | 137085 |
triplets | 5298 | 6118 |
quadruplets | 560 | 355 |
quintuplets or more | 81 |
67 |
A. Define the random variable x= number of children born in a single pregnancy in 1996 and develop a probablity distribution for the random variable. let x=5 represent quintuplets or more B. Compute expected value and variance for the number of children born in a single pregnancy in 1996 C. define a random variable = number of children born in a single pregnancy in 2006 and develop a probability distribution for the random variable. let y = 5 represent quintuplets or more |
A. Random variable x= number of children born in a single pregnancy in 1996
The relative frequency distribution is given as below:
# of children | 1996 frequency | 1996 Relative Frequency |
one child | 3671455 | 0.97176 |
twins | 100750 | 0.02667 |
triplets | 5298 | 0.00140 |
quadruplets | 560 | 0.00015 |
quintuplets or more | 81 | 0.00002 |
Total | 3778144 | 1 |
The probability distribution of X is given as:
X = 1; P(X=1) = 0.97176
X =2; P(X=2) = 0.02667
X = 3; P(X=3) = 0.00140
X = 4; P(X=4) = 0.00015
X = 5; P(X=5) = 0.00002
B.
Expected value of X, E(X) = 1 x 0.97176 + 2 x 0.02667 + 3 x 0.00140 + 4 x 0.00015 + 5 x 0.00002 = 1.03
Variance of X = (1- 1.03)2 x 0.97176 + (2 - 1.03)2 x 0.02667 + (3 - 1.03)2 x0.00140 + (4 - 1.03)2 x 0.00015 + (5 - 1.03)2 x 0.00002 = 0.03305
C. Let random variable Y = number of children born in a single pregnancy in 2006
The relative frequency distribution is given as below:
# of children | 2006 frequency | 2006 Relative Frequency |
one child | 3971276 | 0.96509 |
twins | 137085 | 0.03331 |
triplets | 6118 | 0.00149 |
quadruplets | 355 | 0.00009 |
quintuplets or more | 67 | 0.00002 |
Total | 4114901 | 1 |
The probability distribution of Y is given as:
Y = 1; P(Y=1) = 0.96509
Y =2; P(Y=2) = 0.03331
Y = 3; P(Y=3) = 0.00149
Y = 4; P(Y=4) = 0.00009
Y = 5; P(Y=5) = 0.00002
Although not asked in the question,
Expected value of Y, E(Y) = 1 x 0.96509 + 2 x 0.03331 + 3 x 0.00149 + 4 x 0.00009 + 5 x 0.00002 = 1.03664
Variance of X = (1- 1.03664)2 x 0.96509 + (2 - 1.03664)2 x 0.03331 + (3 - 1.03664)2 x0.00149 + (4 - 1.03664)2 x 0.00009 + (5 - 1.03664)2 x 0.00002 = 0.08509
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