In: Economics
THE CREDIT CHANNEL OF MONETARY POLICY
According to some economists, besides working through interest
rates and exchange rates, monetary policy also affects credit
supply and demand. These effects are called the credit channel of
monetary policy. On the supply side of the credit market, according
to this theory, tight monetary policy leads to reduced lending by
banks. The reason is that, a tightening of monetary policy reduces
bank reserves and thus the quantity of customer deposits that banks
can accept. With fewer deposits on hand, banks have a smaller
quantity of funds available to lend. As banks cut back on their
lending, the argument goes, borrowers who depend on banks for
credit, such as consumers and small firms, are unable to obtain the
credit they need to make planned purchases. The resulting decline
in spending depresses aggregate demand and thus economic
activity.
On the demand side of the credit market, according to proponents of
the credit channel, tight monetary policy has the effect of making
potential borrowers less "credit-worthy," or less eligible for
loans. Consider for example, a firm that has a substantial amount
of floating-rate debt, or debt whose interest rate is tied to the
current interest rate in the market. If a tightening of monetary
policy raises interest rates, the firm's interest costs will rise,
reducing its profitability. The firm's reduced profitability makes
lending to the firm riskier (the firm is more likely to go
bankrupt), so the firm has trouble obtaining credit. Alternatively,
consider a consumer who wants to use some shares of stock that she
owns as collateral for a bank loan. Tighter monetary policy reduces
the value of those shares (as financial investors, lured by higher
interest rates, switch from stocks to bonds). With reduced
collateral, the consumer will be able to borrow less. In either
example, the reduction in credit available to the borrower is
likely to lead to reduced spending and thus a weaker economy.
What is the evidence for the credit channel? On the supply side of
the credit market, many economists would argue that the credit
channel was powerful in the United States in the 1960s
and 1970s but has been less so recently. The reason for this
weakening is that the deregulation of the banking sector and
elimination of reserve requirements for some types of large
deposits have made it easier for banks to maintain their lending,
despite a reduction in bank reserves caused by tight money. For
example, today (unlike twenty years ago), a bank that loses
deposits can replace them by selling certificates of deposit to
corporations or wealthy individuals. A certificates of deposit is a
large fixed-term debt obligation of the bank, against which no
reserves need to be held. As the bank doesn't need to back its
certificates of deposit issuances with reserves, a tightening of
monetary policy doesn't affect its ability to raise funds in this
way (except, perhaps, by raising the interest rate that the bank
must pay).
The evidence that monetary policy affects the demand side of the
credit market is stronger. For example, consumer and small firm
spending is more sensitive to monetary policy than spending by
large firms. A likely explanation of this finding is that consumers
and small firms are financially riskier than large firms to begin
with, so when monetary policy tightens they are much more likely to
find themselves disqualified for loans. Bankruptcies do increase
among small firms and consumers following a tightening of monetary
policy, and small firms and consumers also receive less credit
after monetary policy tightens, relative to that received by large
firms.
Extracted from Macroeconomics (7th Edition) by Andrew B. Abel, Ben
S. Bernanke, Dean Croushore. Page 551-552.
QUESTION
(a) Examine the advantages of credit channel as a monetary policy
option.
(b) Discuss the reasons for credit channel to lose its popularity
as a monetary policy option.
(c) Does tight monetary policy necessarily lead to weaken economic
performance? Clarify your answer.
(d) Discuss the mechanism and implications of the policy discussed
in (c) on real GDP and prices. Simulate your answer by applying the
cause-effect chain diagrams i.e. money/credit market, investment
demand schedule, AE and AD-AS model.
(a) Examine the advantages of credit channel as a monetary policy option.
Answer As a monetry policy option strongly affet the
demqand side of the credit channel by reducing the loans
avaialbility,causing bankruptancies, Also the supply side of credit
channel of monetry policy as a option is weaken and depreciate the
economy due to deregulation of banking sector and elimination of
reserve requirement .The role of credit channel as monetry policy
option has no advantage in my opinion from the case study above
.
(b) Discuss the reasons for credit channel to lose its popularity
as a monetary policy option. (10 marks)
Answer Due to the Deregulation of the banking sector and
the elimination of reserve requirement for some type of larghe
deposits have made it easier for the bannks to maintain thier
lending , despite a reduction in bank reserve caused by the tight
money .This is why the popularity reduced
(c) Does tight monetary policy necessarily lead to weaken economic
performance? Clarify your answer. (10 marks)
Answer Yes , it will necessarily affect the low income houslhold , small business firm , medium business firmn ,infact all the busniess at grounds , and also some large bnusiness , oversall it will have a negative effect on all sides and will reduce the real output growth of the country and that why it will weaken the economy and its performance
(d) Discuss the mechanism and implications of the policy
discussed in (c) on real GDP and prices. Simulate your answer by
applying the cause-effect chain diagrams i.e. money/credit
market,
Answer- The monetry policy -Tight money will reduce the GDP index of the country as the reason is the lower goods and service production mostly because of the tight money , shut down of the small businesses, as we saw that the demand side of credeit channel is strongly affected so the coinsumer and small firm are at high risk and disqualified for loans .The interes rate will increase will cause the price to be increased .
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