The following table shows age distribution and location of a random sample of 166 buffalo in a national park.
| Age | Lamar District | Nez Perce District | Firehole District | Row Total |
| Calf | 14 | 14 | 13 | 41 |
| Yearling | 12 | 9 | 12 | 33 |
| Adult | 30 | 28 | 34 | 92 |
| Column Total | 56 | 51 | 59 | 166 |
Use a chi-square test to determine if age distribution and location are independent at the 0.05 level of significance.
(a) What is the level of significance?
State the null and alternate hypotheses.
H0: Age distribution and location are not
independent.
H1: Age distribution and location are not
independent.H0: Age distribution and location
are independent.
H1: Age distribution and location are
independent. H0: Age
distribution and location are not independent.
H1: Age distribution and location are
independent.H0: Age distribution and location
are independent.
H1: Age distribution and location are not
independent.
(b) Find the value of the chi-square statistic for the sample.
(Round the expected frequencies to at least three decimal places.
Round the test statistic to three decimal places.)
Are all the expected frequencies greater than 5?
YesNo
What sampling distribution will you use?
uniformchi-square normalStudent's tbinomial
What are the degrees of freedom?
(c) Find or estimate the P-value of the sample test
statistic. (Round your answer to three decimal places.)
p-value > 0.1000.050 < p-value < 0.100 0.025 < p-value < 0.0500.010 < p-value < 0.0250.005 < p-value < 0.010p-value < 0.005
(d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or
fail to reject the null hypothesis of independence?
Since the P-value > α, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.Since the P-value > α, we reject the null hypothesis. Since the P-value ≤ α, we reject the null hypothesis.Since the P-value ≤ α, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.
(e) Interpret your conclusion in the context of the
application.
At the 5% level of significance, there is sufficient evidence to conclude that age distribution and location are not independent.At the 5% level of significance, there is insufficient evidence to conclude that age distribution and location are not independent.
In: Math
The City and County of Denver is completing a $45 million renovation of City Park Golf Course. To complete the renovation, the course has been closed to the public for 2.5 years (planned re-opening is Spring 2020). The project updated the course, built a new clubhouse that can accommodate golf and community events, resulted in a “net gain of 500 trees”, and reduced flood risk “for thousands of homes”.[1] All of these updates are expected to provide either increased revenue or reduced costs. Assume the $45 million cost was paid upfront by Denver and the following are the estimated cash receipts and disbursements associated with the project.[1] If the cost of capital is 6%, does the project make sense based on NPV and IRR over a 30-year useful life? Does your finding change if the cost of capital is actually 4%?
|
Year |
Disbursements ($) |
Receipts ($) |
Net Cash Flow ($) |
|
0 |
45000000 |
0 |
-45000000 |
|
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
3 |
13000000 |
15500000 |
2500000 |
|
4 |
13390000 |
15965000 |
2575000 |
|
5 |
13791700 |
16443950 |
2652250 |
|
6 |
14205451 |
16937269 |
2731818 |
|
7 |
14631615 |
17445387 |
2813772 |
|
8 |
15070563 |
17968748 |
2898185 |
|
9 |
15522680 |
18507811 |
2985131 |
|
10 |
15988360 |
19063045 |
3074685 |
|
11 |
16468011 |
19634936 |
3166925 |
|
12 |
16962051 |
20223984 |
3261933 |
|
13 |
17470913 |
20830704 |
3359791 |
|
14 |
17995040 |
21455625 |
3460585 |
|
15 |
18534892 |
22099294 |
3564402 |
|
16 |
19090938 |
22762273 |
3671334 |
|
17 |
19663666 |
23445141 |
3781474 |
|
18 |
20253576 |
24148495 |
3894919 |
|
19 |
20861184 |
24872950 |
4011766 |
|
20 |
21487019 |
25619138 |
4132119 |
|
21 |
22131630 |
26387712 |
4256083 |
|
22 |
22795579 |
27179344 |
4383765 |
|
23 |
23479446 |
27994724 |
4515278 |
|
24 |
24183829 |
28834566 |
4650736 |
|
25 |
24909344 |
29699603 |
4790259 |
|
26 |
25656625 |
30590591 |
4933966 |
|
27 |
26426323 |
31508309 |
5081985 |
|
28 |
27219113 |
32453558 |
5234445 |
|
29 |
28035686 |
33427165 |
5391478 |
|
30 |
28876757 |
34429980 |
5553223 |
[
In: Finance
Suppose you work for an insurance company. You know that there are equal numbers of individuals who will get in an accident with probability 0.2 and 0.3 and that the loss from getting in an accident is $4,000. Suppose you wish to screen individuals by offering full- coverage insurance as well as 30 percent coinsurance (i.e., the insurance pays 30 percent of the loss amount, or $1,200, in the event of an accident). You wish to include a 5 percent premium over the actuarially fair values for these policies to help cover overhead and pro- vide a profit margin for your company.
Will this pair of policies screen individuals into risk classes if we assume that all insuredindividuals have utility function U(X) ? 2000 · (X/4000)0.5 where X is income? Hint: Calculate utility (or expected utility) for each of the three options (no insurance, full- coverage insurance, and coinsurance) for both types of individuals and compare ex- pected utility levels to see what each will choose.
Background on Expected Utility: In this conceptualization of utility, we can compare uncertain outcomes with certain outcomes. For example, if an individual does not have insurance and does not get into an accident, he or she has a utility level of 2,000 (because X ? $4,000) or zero if he or she gets into an accident (because then X ? $0). The expected utility (EU) is based on the likelihood of each event occurring. A per- son facing a 10 percent chance of having an accident would have an expected utility of 1,800 using this utility function because EU ? 0.9 · 2,000 ? 0.1 · 0. This person would be indifferent between facing this “lottery” and having $3,240 with certainty (because U(3240) ? 1,800). This certainty equivalent value was obtained by solving for X in the equation 1800 ? 2000 · (X/4000)0.5. The lottery would be preferred to amounts less than $3,240 offered with certainty.
In: Economics
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In: Statistics and Probability
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In: Statistics and Probability
7. In questions 7, and 8, suppose 1% of all cars are stolen
every year. An anti-theft system manufacturer claims that only 0.3%
of all cars equipped with their system are stolen. A consumer
advocacy group intending to evaluate this claim, tracks 12000 cars
equipped with the anti-theft system and found that 30 of them were
stolen in the first six months of 2017. Assuming that the first 6
months of the year are no different from the second 6 months of the
year in terms of number of theft, what are the H0 and H1 in the
study run by the consumer advocacy group? (Hint: P is defined as
the proportion of cars stolen every year)
|
8.What is the value of the test statistics, and what do you
conclude at 95% confidence level?. (Hint: Our sample is only from
tracking cars for 6 months, not the entire year, so what does our 6
months sample indicate about the proportion of stolen cars in 12
months? That is how you find P^)
|
In: Statistics and Probability
Mr. John Backster, a retired executive, desires to invest a portion of his assets in rental property. He has narrowed his choices to two apartment complexes, Windy Acres and Hillcrest Apartments. The anticipated annual cash inflows from each are as follows:
| Windy Acres |
Hillcrest Apartments |
|||
| Yearly Aftertax Cash Inflow |
Probability | Yearly Aftertax Cash Inflow |
Probability | |
| 80,000 | 0.2 | 85,000 | 0.2 | |
| 85,000 | 0.2 | 90,000 | 0.3 | |
| 100,000 | 0.2 | 100,000 | 0.4 | |
| 115,000 | 0.2 | 110,000 | 0.1 | |
| 120,000 | 0.2 | |||
Mr. Backster is likely to hold the apartment complex of his choice for about 20 years and will use this period for decision-making purposes. Either apartment can be purchased for $180,000. Mr. Backster uses a risk-adjusted discount rate approach when evaluating investments. His scale is related to the coefficient of variation (for other types of investments, he also considers other measures).
| Coefficient of Variation | Discount Rate | |
| 0–0.35 | 8% | |
| 0.35–0.40 | 12 | (cost of capital) |
| 0.40–0.50 | 14 | |
| Over 0.50 | not considered | |
a. Compute the risk-adjusted net present value for Windy Acres and Hillcrest Apartments. (Round "PV Factor" to 3 decimal places. Enter the answers in thousands of dollars. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round the final answers to nearest whole dollar.)
| Net present value | |
| Windy Acres | $ |
| Hillcrest Apartments | $ |
b-1. Which investment should Mr. Backster accept if the two investments are mutually exclusive?
Hillcrest
Windy Acres
Both
None
b-2. Which investment should Mr. Backster accept If the investments are not mutually exclusive and no capital rationing is involved?
Windy Acres
Hillcrest Apartments
Both
None
In: Finance
Aiolos plc. is a small firm that produces and sells industrial
machinery. The
following figures of the company are from the most recent financial
period:
- Sales €20,000,000
- Earnings before interest and taxes €2,000,000
- Debt €10,000,000
- Interest expenses before tax €1,000,000
- Capital Expenditures €1,000,000
- Depreciation expenses are 50% of capital expenditures
- Book value of equity € 10,000,000
Also, you have collected financial information concerning the
industrial
machinery sector of listed companies (all figures are on an average
basis):
- Beta coefficient of listed companies of the sector 1.30
- Financial leverage in terms of debt to market value of equity
20%
- Firms in the sector trade three times (3x) their book value of
equity.
- Effective tax rate 20% tax rate.
The management of Aiolos plc. expects that the company will
experience a twostage
growth pattern. Specifically, during the first period which will
last for the
next 5 years, net income, capital expenditures and depreciation
will have a 25%
growth rate per annum, whereas during the second period (i.e.
steady state),
net income will have a 7% growth rate to infinity and capital
expenditures and
depreciation will offset each other.
Working capital requirements are estimated to remain stable during
both growth
periods, while the proportion of net capital expenditure changes
with debt will
remain to 0.3 for the next five years. The yield-to-maturity of the
10 year
government bond is 3%, while the market risk premium is 5%.
Required:
A. Estimate the cost of equity for this Aiolos plc. (5
points)
B. Estimate the value of the owner's stake in Aiolos plc., using
the free cash
flow to equity approach. (15 points)
C. Identify and briefly describe any qualitative aspects of growth.
(5 points)
In: Finance
Aiolos plc. is a small firm that produces and sells industrial
machinery. The
following figures of the company are from the most recent financial
period:
Sales €20,000,000
Earnings before interest and taxes €2,000,000
Debt €10,000,000
Interest expenses before tax €1,000,000
Capital Expenditures €1,000,000
Depreciation expenses are 50% of capital expenditures
Book value of equity € 10,000,000
Also, you have collected financial information concerning the
industrial
machinery sector of listed companies (all figures are on an average
basis):
Beta coefficient of listed companies of the sector 1.30
Financial leverage in terms of debt to market value of equity
20%
Firms in the sector trade three times (3x) their book value of
equity.
Effective tax rate 20% tax rate.
The management of Aiolos plc. expects that the company will
experience a twostage
growth pattern. Specifically, during the first period which will
last for the
next 5 years, net income, capital expenditures and depreciation
will have a 25%
growth rate per annum, whereas during the second period (i.e.
steady state),
net income will have a 7% growth rate to infinity and capital
expenditures and
depreciation will offset each other.
Working capital requirements are estimated to remain stable during
both growth
periods, while the proportion of net capital expenditure changes
with debt will
remain to 0.3 for the next five years. The yield-to-maturity of the
10 year
government bond is 3%, while the market risk premium is 5%.
Required:
aEstimate the cost of equity for this Aiolos plc
b. Estimate the value of the owner's stake in Aiolos plc., using
the free cash
flow to equity approach.
c. Identify and briefly describe any qualitative aspects of
growth.
i need the estimation value of AIOLOS using the FCFE method and the c) question as well
In: Accounting
Answer:____________
Inspection time 0.3 days
Wait time 7.0 days
Process time 2.6 days
Move time 0.8 days
Queue time 3.4 days
What is the delivery cycle time in days? Enter the value with 1 decimal place.
Answer:__________
In: Accounting