A study of college football games shows that the number of holding penalties assessed has a mean of 2.2 penalties per game and a standard deviation of 0.8 penalties per game. What is the probability that, for a sample of 40 college games to be played next week, the mean number of holding penalties will be 2.35 penalties per game or more? Carry your intermediate computations to at least four decimal places. Round your answer to at least three decimal places.
In: Math
The current risk-free rate is 2 percent and the market risk premium is 4 percent. You are trying to value ABC company and it has an equity beta of 0.8. The company earned $3.50 per share in the year that just ended. You expect the company's earnings to grow 4 percent per year. The company has an ROE of 13 percent.
a. What is the value of the stock? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to the nearest cent.
In: Finance
Midas is considering two stocks. The expected return on LAN is
15% with a standard deviation of 32%. The expected return on GBT is
9% with a standard deviation of 23%. The correlation between the
returns on LAN and GBT is 0.15. The betas of LAN and GBT are 1.2
and 0.8 respectively.
a. Assume that Midas would like to have a portfolio with a beta of
0.9. Recommend how he can invest in two stocks to achieve his
objective. Determine the expected return and standard deviation on
this portfolio.
In: Finance
Hewlett-Packard is a large, successful company with over $31 billion in 1995 revenues. Its fast annual revenue growth approximately 30% from such a large base has astounded observers. The company competes in many markets, including computers and peripheral equipment, test and measurement devices, electronic components, and medical devices. It has 110,000 employees and over 400 locations around the world.
HP is known for its relaxed, open culture. All employees, including the CEO, work in open cubicles. Many employees are technically-oriented engineers who enjoy learning and sharing their knowledge. The company is perceived as being somewhat benevolent to its employees, and fast growth has obviated the need for major layoffs. All employees participate in a profit sharing program.
The company is also known for its decentralized organizational structure and mode of operations. Business units that perform well have a very high degree of autonomy. There is little organized sharing of information, resources, or employees across units. HP managers feel that the strong business-specific focus brought by decentralization is a key factor in the firm's recent success. Although culturally open to sharing, few business units are willing to invest time or money in "leveraged" efforts that do not have an obvious and immediate payback for the unit. It is common, however, for employees to move from one business unit to another; this mobility makes possible some degree of informal knowledge transfer within HP.
In mid-1995 it became apparent that several knowledge management initiatives were underway in various HP business units. Some had been in place for several years; others were just beginning. Noticing this phenomenon, Bob Walker, HP's CIO and Vice President, and Chuck Sieloff, Manager of Information Systems Services and Technology (ISST), decided to attempt to facilitate knowledge management at HP by holding a series of workshops on the topic. Their idea was to bring together a diverse group of people within the company who were already doing knowledge management in some form, or who were interested in getting started. The corporate ISST group had previously sponsored similar workshop initiatives in the areas of reengineering and organizational change management. Key objectives for the workshops included the facilitation of knowledge sharing through informal networking, and the establishment of common language and management frameworks for knowledge management. Walker and Sieloff appointed Joe Schneider, an ISST staff member who also focused on Web-based systems, to organize the workshops.
The first workshop was held in October of 1995. An Ernst & Young consultant facilitated the meeting, and presented some proposed definitions and frameworks. About 20 people attended the first session; 13 were from corporate units, and the rest from various business units. Joe Schneider asked participants at the meeting if they were aware of other knowledge management initiatives. From this discussion Schneider compiled a list of more than 20 HP sites where some form of proactive knowledge management was underway. Several of the initiatives are described below.
Trainer's Trading Post
One knowledge management initiative involves HP educators. Bruce Karney is a member of the infrastructure team for the Corporate Education organization, part of HP's Personnel function. Karney estimates that there are more than 2,000 educators or trainers distributed around HP, most of whom work within small groups and find it difficult to share knowledge. About two years ago, in response to complaints by the education community that, "we don't know what's going on," Karney began work on approaches to knowledge sharing for HP educators. He hoped to make the group more of a community; until this effort, it had no shared history, process, or tool set.
Using Lotus Notes as the technology vehicle, Karney established three different "knowledge bases" for educators to use:
Trainer's Trading Post, a discussion database on training
topics;
Training Library a collection of training documents (e.g., course
binders);
Training Review, a Consumer Reports collection of evaluations of
training resources.
Training Review never took off; educators were reluctant to opine on-line about the worth of course materials or external providers, and there was no reward structure for participating. It was therefore merged with Trainer's Trading Post. Training Library did receive many contributions, but as participants discovered that they could attach materials to submissions to Trainer's Trading Post, that knowledge base became the dominant medium for educator use, and Karney expects that it will be the sole offering in the future.
Karney adopted innovative tactics to get submissions to the knowledge bases. He gave out free Notes licenses to prospective users. When a new knowledge base was established, he gave out 2000 free airline miles for the first 50 readers and another 500 miles for anyone who posted a submission. Later promotions involved miles for contributions, for questions, and for responses to questions. By early 1996, more than two-thirds of the identified educator community had read at least one posting, and more than a third had submitted a posting or comment themselves. Still, Karney was frustrated. Despite his countless attempts with free miles and e-mail and voice mail exhortations, he still felt the need to continually scare up fresh contributions. "The participation numbers are still creeping up," he notes, "but this would have failed without an evangelist. Even at this advanced stage, if I got run over by a beer truck, this database would be in trouble."
Building a Network of Experts
Another knowledge project was initiated by the library function within HP Laboratories, the company's research arm. The goal of this project is to provide a guide to human knowledge resources within the Labs and, eventually, to other parts of Hewlett-Packard. If successful, the guide will help to address a problem identified by a previous director of the Labs: "If only HP knew what HP knows."
The directory of HP experts, called Connex, is being developed by Tony Carrozza, an "Information Technical Engineer." He has been working part-time on the project for almost a year; the system is scheduled to go into its pilot phase soon. It uses a Web browser as an interface to a relational database. The primary content of the database is a set of expert profiles, or guides to the backgrounds and expertise of individuals who are knowledgeable on particular topics. By browsing or searching Connex, it will be easy to find, for example, someone in HP who speaks German, knows ISDN technology, and has a Masters or Ph.D. in a technical field. Upon finding someone, the searcher can quickly link to the individuals home page if it exists.
One concern Carrozza has is how to create a manageable list of knowledge categories in the database that will be widely understood and will accurately reflect the Labs' broad universe of knowledge. Carrozza plans to rely on the experts themselves to furnish their original knowledge profiles and to maintain them over time. He expects that this will be a challenge, and speculated that experts might be given incentives for example, Carrozza suggested, "a Dove Bar for each profile" to submit and maintain profiles. As a back-up, a "nag" feature is built into the system to remind people to update their profiles. Carrozza also anticipates that there may be problems with the term "expert;" he is trying to identify less politically laden terms.
Connex will be implemented originally for the Labs, but Carrozza hopes that the expert network will eventually expand throughout all of HP. He knows that other parts of the company will be developing their own databases, but he hopes that they will use the Connex structure. He is already working with the Corporate Education group described above to create a network of educators using Connex. He adds, "I know other people are building expert databases. I just don't know who they ."
Knowledge Management on Product Processes
HP's Product Processes Organization (PPO) is a corporate group with the mission of advancing product development and introduction. It includes such diverse functions as Corporate Quality, Procurement, Product Marketing, Safety and Environmental, and Organizational Change. The Product Generation Information Systems (PGIS) group serves each of these functions. Bill Kay, the PPO director, put PGIS at the center of the PPO organization chart because he felt that information management needed to become a core competence of PPO.
As part of that competence, Kay asked Garry Gray, the manager of PGIS, and Judy Lewis, another PGIS manager, to begin a knowledge management initiative. As a "proof of concept" the PPO knowledge management group developed Knowledge Links, a Web-based collection of product development knowledge from the various PPO functions. Consistent with the philosophy of the knowledge management group, Knowledge Links contained knowledge contributed by "knowledge
reporters and editors," who obtained it through interviews with experts. The system prototype has been used many times to demonstrate the concept of knowledge management with PPO "customers," but the goal of summarizing knowledge across PPO proved overly ambitious, and the system was never built.
The PPO knowledge management group is currently working on three projects. One involves competitor information for HP's Components group. The goal of the second project is to create a Web-based interface to primary and secondary research information. The third system manages international marketing intelligence. Each of these projects are being developed in a collaboration between PGIS and other PPO groups, e.g., Product Marketing and Change Management. The goal is not for PGIS to manage knowledge by itself, but rather to facilitate the process of structuring and disseminating knowledge through the use of information technology.
Managing Knowledge for the Computer Dealer Channel
Perhaps one of the earliest initiatives to explicitly manage knowledge at HP was an effort to capture and leverage HP product knowledge for the Computer Products Organization (CPO) dealer channel. It began in 1985. Technical support for the dealer channel had previously involved answering phone calls; the business unit was growing at 40% annually, and calls from dealers were growing at the same rate. Eventually, answering all the phone calls would require all the people in Northern California. HP workers began to put frequently-asked questions on a dialup database, and the number of dealer support calls began to decline. According to David Akers, who managed the project, the development group views each support call as an error.
The system came to be called HP Network News. It was converted to Lotus Notes and has been remarkably successful in reducing the number of calls. One key reason for the system's effectiveness is the developers' close attention to the actual problems faced by dealers not their own ideas about what knowledge is important. Another important factor is the constant effort by developers to add value to the knowledge. For example, lists are constantly made of the most frequently asked questions, frequently encountered problems, and most popular products. These lists are publicized and dealers are encouraged to download the information from the Notes database. Less valuable information is pruned away. HP Network News is still going after 10 years, and it has been a significant factor in the high support ratings HP receives from its dealers.
Summary
Chuck Sieloff and Joe Schneider are committed to advancing the state of knowledge management, but in a decentralized company like Hewlett Packard, it is not clear what steps should be taken. They discuss whether there are actions they could take beyond facilitating the Knowledge Management Workshop. They feel that knowledge is already exchanged well within work groups and even business units, but there is little support in the culture for sharing across units. However, for ISST to try to change the culture just for the purpose of knowledge management seems like the tail wagging the dog.
Schneider and Sieloff also wonder just how different managing "knowledge" is from managing information. Many of the HP initiatives are arguably a mixture of knowledge and information, and drawing the line between the two is difficult. Sieloff feels that the same fact could be either data, information, or knowledge for different people. Of course, the various information systems groups at HP have a great deal of experience at managing data and information. How relevant is the experience gained in these areas to problems of knowledge management?
Schneider believes that facilitating knowledge management at HP can be viewed as a knowledge management problem. The company has both internal expertise and external sources of knowledge on knowledge management. At the corporate level, Schneider is using the workshops as one mechanism to understand who needs this knowledge and how best to transfer it. He also wants to get the workshop participants involved in an ongoing knowledge management network that shares best practices and transfers emerging knowledge.
However, neither Chuck Sieloff nor Joe Schneider have knowledge management as the only component (or in Sieloff's case, even a major component) of their jobs. They know that other firms are establishing permanent, full-time positions overseeing knowledge management issues at the corporate level-a "Chief Knowledge Officer," for example. When Sieloff and Schneider discuss the concept with regard to HP, they question whether a corporate knowledge executive would make sense in such a decentralized company.
The current HP approach, which emphasizes awareness-building and the development of common vocabulary and frameworks through workshops, is a subtle one. The two managers feel it is appropriate for HP's culture, but they are always looking for other techniques and methods that might be introduced.
Utilizing a tool similar to Cmap (free download from http://cmap.ihmc.us) create a roadmap of the existing knowledge resources at HP.
Demonstrate how the flow of knowledge could have been improved by including a new knowledge network on your roadmap.
Yes you can use other tools
In: Operations Management
26. Tombro Industries is in the process of automating one of its plants and developing a flexible manufacturing system. The company is finding it necessary to make many changes in operating procedures. Progress has been slow, particularly in trying to develop new performance measures for the factory.
In an effort to evaluate performance and determine where improvements can be made, management has gathered the following data relating to activities over the last four months:
| Month | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||
| Quality control measures: | ||||||||
| Number of defects | 204 | 182 | 143 | 98 | ||||
| Number of warranty claims | 65 | 58 | 49 | 46 | ||||
| Number of customer complaints | 121 | 115 | 98 | 77 | ||||
| Material control measures: | ||||||||
| Purchase order lead time | 8 days | 7 days | 5 days | 4 days | ||||
| Scrap as a percent of total cost | 2 | % | 2 | % | 3 | % | 6 | % |
| Machine performance measures: | ||||||||
| Machine downtime as a percentage of availability | 5 | % | 6 | % | 6 | % | 10 | % |
| Use as a percentage of availability | 94 | % | 91 | % | 88 | % | 84 | % |
| Setup time (hours) | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | ||||
| Delivery performance measures: | ||||||||
| Throughput time | ? | ? | ? | ? | ||||
| Manufacturing cycle efficiency (MCE) | ? | ? | ? | ? | ||||
| Delivery cycle time | ? | ? | ? | ? | ||||
| Percentage of on-time deliveries | 95 | % | 94 | % | 91 | % | 88 | % |
The president has read in industry journals that throughput time, MCE, and delivery cycle time are important measures of performance, but no one is sure how they are computed. You have been asked to assist the company, and you have gathered the following data relating to these measures:
| Average per Month (in days) |
||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| Wait time per order before start of production |
9.0 | 10.6 | 12.0 | 14.0 |
| Inspection time per unit | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Process time per unit | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Queue time per unit | 3.9 | 5.4 | 7.2 | 8.6 |
| Move time per unit | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
Required:
1-a. Compute the throughput time for each month.
1-b. Compute the manufacturing cycle efficiency (MCE) for each month.
1-c. Compute the delivery cycle time for each month.
3-a. Refer to the inspection time, process time, and so forth, given for month 4. Assume that in month 5 the inspection time, process time, and so forth, are the same as for month 4, except that the company is able to completely eliminate the queue time during production using Lean Production. Compute the new throughput time and MCE.
3-b. Refer to the inspection time, process time, and so forth, given for month 4. Assume that in month 6 the inspection time, process time, and so forth, are the same as in month 4, except that the company is able to eliminate both the queue time during production and the inspection time using Lean Production. Compute the new throughput time and MCE.
In: Accounting
Melanie is the manager of the Clean Machine car wash and has gathered the following information. Customers arrive at a rate of eight per hour according to a Poisson distribution. The car washer can service an average of ten cars per hour with service times described by an ex- ponential distribution. Melanie is concerned about the number of customers waiting in line. She has asked you to calculate the following system characteristics:
(a) Average system utilization 8/10=0.8= 80%
(b) Average number of customers in the system 8/(10-8)=8/2= 4
(c) Average number of customers waiting in line 8^2/10(10-8)= 64/20= 3.2 customers
2. Melanie realizes that how long the customer must wait is also very important. She is also concerned about customers balking when the waiting line is too long. Using the arrival and service rates in Problem 1, she wants you to calculate the following system characteristics:
(a) The average time a customer spends in the system 1/(10-8)= ½ hours
(b) The average time a customer spends waiting in line0.8/(10-8)= 0.8/2 = 0.4 hours
(c) The probability of having more than three customers in the system 0.8^3 =0.512
(d) The probability of having more than four customers in the system 0.8^4 =0.4096
If Melanie adds an additional server at Clean Machine
car wash, the service rate changes to an average of 16 cars per
hour. The customer arrival rate is 10 cars per hour. Melanie has
asked you to calculate the following system characteristics:
(a) Average system utilization
(b) Average number of customers in the system
(c) Average number of customers waiting in line
Melanie is curious to see the difference in waiting times for customers caused by the additional server added in Problem 3. Calculate the following system characteristics for her :
(a) The average time a customer spends in the system
(b) The average time a customer spends waiting in line
(c) The probability of having more than three customers in the system
(d) The probability of having more than four customers in the system
After Melanie added another car washer at Clean Machine (service rate is an average of 16 customers per hour), business improved. Melanie now estimates that the arrival rate is 12 customers per hour. Given this new information, she wants you to calculate the fol- lowing system characteristics:
(a) Average system utilization
(b) Average number of customers in the system
(c) Average number of customers waiting in line
As usual, Melanie then requested you to calculate sys- tem characteristics concerning customer time spent in the system.
(a) Calculate the average time a customer spends in the system.
(b) Calculate the average time a customer spends waiting in line.
(c) Calculate the probability of having more than four customers in the system.
In: Advanced Math
Given the attached data. Answer the following questions for a 6 period moving average.
MAD = Average(|A-F|)
TS =SUM(A-F)/MAD
MSE = Average(A-F)2
1. Compute your forecast for period 51.
The potential answers are:
A: 4414 units.
B: 10290.67 units.
C: 8020.83 units.
D: 6324.8 units.
E: 6351.86 units.
2. Compute the MAD value for period 50.
The potential answers are:
A: 2655.35 units.
B: 3753.86 units.
C: 3892.54 units.
D: 3732.56 units.
E: 3205.7 units.
3. Compute standard deviation of forecast for period 51.
The potential answers are:
A: 3319 units.
B: 4666 units.
C: 4866 units.
D: 2660 units.
E: 4007 units.
4. Compute the TS value for period 50.
The potential answers are:
A: -5.8.
B: 2.5.
C: -0.7.
D: -0.2.
E: -1.3.
5. Compute the MSE value for period 50. The potential answers are:
A: 9474272 units.
B: 18872575 units.
C: 20380735 units.
D: 6274108 units.
E: 13546074 units.
6. Compute the standard deviation of demand for period 51 using MSE.
The potential answers are:
A: 4515 units.
B: 4344 units.
C: 4657 units.
D: 2505 units.
E: 3680 units.
(Excel attached data below)
| t | At | |
| 1 | 2751 | |
| 2 | 6581 | |
| 3 | 10658 | |
| 4 | 5446 | |
| 5 | 8684 | |
| 6 | 12896 | |
| 7 | 7653 | |
| 8 | 5910 | |
| 9 | 10607 | |
| 10 | 15010 | |
| 11 | 11235 | |
| 12 | 3866 | |
| 13 | 9190 | |
| 14 | 4794 | |
| 15 | 6408 | |
| 16 | 4996 | |
| 17 | 12029 | |
| 18 | 13516 | |
| 19 | 8039 | |
| 20 | 10187 | |
| 21 | 13176 | |
| 22 | 8070 | |
| 23 | 5060 | |
| 24 | 10542 | |
| 25 | 3125 | |
| 26 | 10977 | |
| 27 | 13051 | |
| 28 | 7688 | |
| 29 | 16220 | |
| 30 | 5333 | |
| 31 | 3812 | |
| 32 | 2561 | |
| 33 | 9289 | |
| 34 | 5794 | |
| 35 | 7534 | |
| 36 | 8041 | |
| 37 | 2620 | |
| 38 | 1791 | |
| 39 | 13253 | |
| 40 | 4714 | |
| 41 | 7206 | |
| 42 | 14435 | |
| 43 | 2809 | |
| 44 | 18193 | |
| 45 | 11674 | |
| 46 | 4850 | |
| 47 | 4441 | |
| 48 | 9661 | |
| 49 | 4311 | |
| 50 | 13188 |
In: Operations Management
A series RL circuit is built with 190 Ω resistor and a 5.0-cm-long, 1.0-cm-diameter solenoid with 800 turns of wire.
A) What is the peak magnetic flux through the solenoid if the circuit is driven by a 12 V, 5.0 kHz source?
B) What capacitance, in μF, has its potential difference increasing at 1.5×106 V/s when the displacement current in the capacitor is 0.60 A ?
In: Physics
Questions related to C#.
When you build a class in C#.NET, how many sub classes can inherit from the class that you just built?
In Object Oriented Development, there are 3 primary concepts that define Object Oriented Programming. What are these concepts?
Function/Method Overloading is when you build 2 or 3 functions with the same name but different argument lists. T/F?
In: Computer Science
Computer the Depreciation Schedule by using SLD, SOYD, and DDB methods
the university pursed a lab Mass-Spectrometer that has 5 years depreciable life. The instrument costs school $900 with a Salvage Value of $70 after the end of the service life.
1-Built a Depreciation Schedule for this asset by all three methods
2-Build a graphic of each method
3-Which method will you recommend to the university and why?
In: Accounting