You are an entrepreneur starting a biotechnology firm. If your research is successful, the technology can be sold for $26 million. If your research is unsuccessful, it will be worth nothing. To fund your research, you need to raise $3.8 million. Investors are willing to provide you with $3.8 million in initial capital in exchange for 40% of the unlevered equity in the firm.
a. What is the total market value of the firm without leverage?
b.Suppose you borrow $0.8 million. According to MM, what fraction of the firm's equity will you need to sell to raise the additional $3.0 million you need?
c. What is the value of your share of the firm's equity in cases
(a)
and
(b)?
a. What is the total market value of the firm without leverage?
The market value without leverage is
$nothing
million. (Round to one decimal place.)
b.
Suppose you borrow
$ 0.8$0.8
million. According to MM, what fraction of the firm's equity will you need to sell to raise the additional
$ 3.0$3.0
million you need?The fraction of the firm's equity you will need to sell is
nothing%.
(Round to the nearest whole percentage.)c. What is the value of your share of the firm's equity in cases
(a)
and
(b)?
The value of your share of the firm's equity:
Case
(a)
is
$nothing
million. (Round to one decimal place.)Case
(b)
is
$nothing
million. (Round to one decimal place.)
In: Finance
Develop a three-week moving average for this time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for week 7. Round your answers to two decimal places.
Week |
Time Series Value |
Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | |
| 2 | 13 | |
| 3 | 16 | |
| 4 | 11 | |
| 5 | 17 | |
| 6 | 14 |
MSE :
The forecast for week 7 :
Use = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for week 7. Round your answers to two decimal places.
Week |
Time Series Value |
Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | |
| 2 | 13 | |
| 3 | 16 | |
| 4 | 11 | |
| 5 | 17 | |
| 6 | 14 |
MSE :
The forecast for week 7 :
Compare the three-week moving average forecast with the exponential smoothing forecast using = 0.2. Which appears to provide the better forecast based on MSE?
Explain.
The input in the box below will not be graded, but may be reviewed and considered by your instructor.
Use trial and error to find a value of the exponential smoothing coefficient that results in a smaller MSE than what you calculated for = 0.2. Find a value of for the smallest MSE. Round your answer to three decimal places.
=
In: Other
Consider the following gasoline sales time series. If needed, round your answers to two-decimal digits.
| Week | Sales (1,000s of gallons) |
| 1 | 17 |
| 2 | 23 |
| 3 | 14 |
| 4 | 25 |
| 5 | 17 |
| 6 | 16 |
| 7 | 22 |
| 8 | 19 |
| 9 | 21 |
| 10 | 19 |
| 11 | 17 |
| 12 | 23 |
| (a) | Show the exponential smoothing forecasts using α = 0.1, and α = 0.2. | |||||||||
|
||||||||||
| (b) | Applying the MSE measure of forecast accuracy, would you prefer a smoothing constant of α = 0.1 or α = 0.2 for the gasoline sales time series? | |||||||||
| An - Select your answer -α = 0.1α = 0.2Item 3 smoothing constant provides the more accurate forecast, with an overall MSE of . | ||||||||||
| (c) | Are the results the same if you apply MAE as the measure of accuracy? | |||||||||
| An - Select your answer -α = 0.1α = 0.2Item 5 smoothing constant provides the more accurate forecast, with an overall MAE of . | ||||||||||
| (d) | What are the results if MAPE is used? | |||||||||
| An - Select your answer -α = 0.1α = 0.2Item 7 smoothing constant provides the more accurate forecast, with an overall MAPE of . | ||||||||||
In: Statistics and Probability
Consider the following gasoline sales time series. If needed, round your answers to two-decimal digits.
| Week | Sales (1,000s of gallons) |
| 1 | 16 |
| 2 | 22 |
| 3 | 17 |
| 4 | 23 |
| 5 | 15 |
| 6 | 17 |
| 7 | 21 |
| 8 | 19 |
| 9 | 20 |
| 10 | 18 |
| 11 | 15 |
| 12 | 23 |
| (a) | Show the exponential smoothing forecasts using α = 0.1, and α = 0.2. | |||||||||
|
||||||||||
| (b) | Applying the MSE measure of forecast accuracy, would you prefer a smoothing constant of α = 0.1 or α = 0.2 for the gasoline sales time series? | |||||||||
| An - Select your answer -α = 0.1α = 0.2Item 3 smoothing constant provides the more accurate forecast, with an overall MSE of . | ||||||||||
| (c) | Are the results the same if you apply MAE as the measure of accuracy? | |||||||||
| An - Select your answer -α = 0.1α = 0.2Item 5 smoothing constant provides the more accurate forecast, with an overall MAE of . | ||||||||||
| (d) | What are the results if MAPE is used? | |||||||||
| An - Select your answer -α = 0.1α = 0.2Item 7 smoothing constant provides the more accurate forecast, with an overall MAPE of . | ||||||||||
In: Statistics and Probability
Annual high temperatures in a certain location have been tracked
for several years. Let X represent the number of years after 2000
and Y the high temperature. Based on the data shown below,
calculate the linear regression equation using technology (each
constant to 2 decimal places).
| x | y |
|---|---|
| 2 | 34.82 |
| 3 | 33.28 |
| 4 | 34.84 |
| 5 | 35.1 |
| 6 | 33.26 |
| 7 | 35.42 |
| 8 | 34.18 |
| 9 | 34.54 |
| 10 | 34.4 |
| 11 | 35.86 |
| 12 | 35.12 |
| 13 | 37.88 |
The equation is?
Interpret the slope
Interpret the y-intercept
In: Statistics and Probability
|
Consider the following gasoline sales time series. If needed, round your answers to two-decimal digits.
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
In: Statistics and Probability
In: Economics
Lora Corp. anticipates a non-constant growth pattern for dividends. Dividends are expected to be $1.30 next year followed by a 15% growth rate until the end of year five. At this time dividends will grow at a 5% rate for the foreseeable future. Use a discount rate of 12% (Ke) throughout your analysis. Round all values that you compute to two places to the right of the decimal point. Calculate Po
In: Finance
Consider the following gasoline sales time series. If needed, round your answers to two-decimal digits.
| Week | Sales (1,000s of gallons) |
| 1 | 17 |
| 2 | 21 |
| 3 | 16 |
| 4 | 24 |
| 5 | 17 |
| 6 | 18 |
| 7 | 22 |
| 8 | 20 |
| 9 | 21 |
| 10 | 19 |
| 11 | 16 |
| 12 | 25 |
| (a) | Show the exponential smoothing forecasts using α = 0.1, and α = 0.2. | |||||||||
|
||||||||||
| (b) | Applying the MSE measure of forecast accuracy, would you prefer a smoothing constant of α = 0.1 or α = 0.2 for the gasoline sales time series? | |||||||||
| An - Select your answer -α = 0.1α = 0.2Item 3 smoothing constant provides the more accurate forecast, with an overall MSE of . | ||||||||||
| (c) | Are the results the same if you apply MAE as the measure of accuracy? | |||||||||
| An - Select your answer -α = 0.1α = 0.2Item 5 smoothing constant provides the more accurate forecast, with an overall MAE of . | ||||||||||
| (d) | What are the results if MAPE is used? | |||||||||
| An - Select your answer -α = 0.1α = 0.2Item 7 smoothing constant provides the more accurate forecast, with an overall MAPE of . | ||||||||||
In: Statistics and Probability
Consider the following gasoline sales time series. If needed, round your answers to two-decimal digits.
| Week | Sales (1,000s of gallons) |
| 1 | 17 |
| 2 | 21 |
| 3 | 19 |
| 4 | 23 |
| 5 | 18 |
| 6 | 16 |
| 7 | 20 |
| 8 | 18 |
| 9 | 22 |
| 10 | 20 |
| 11 | 15 |
| 12 | 22 |
| (a) | Show the exponential smoothing forecasts using α = 0.1, and α = 0.2. | |||||||||
|
||||||||||
| (b) | Applying the MSE measure of forecast accuracy, would you prefer a smoothing constant of α = 0.1 or α = 0.2 for the gasoline sales time series? | |||||||||
| An - Select your answer -α = 0.1α = 0.2Item 3 smoothing constant provides the more accurate forecast, with an overall MSE of . | ||||||||||
| (c) | Are the results the same if you apply MAE as the measure of accuracy? | |||||||||
| An - Select your answer -α = 0.1α = 0.2Item 5 smoothing constant provides the more accurate forecast, with an overall MAE of . | ||||||||||
| (d) | What are the results if MAPE is used? | |||||||||
| An - Select your answer -α = 0.1α = 0.2Item 7 smoothing constant provides the more accurate forecast, with an overall MAPE of . | ||||||||||
In: Statistics and Probability