We all know the Earth exerts gravity on us, but other objects in the solar system also pull on us. In the following series of problems we will investigate how strong gravity is for a person standing on the surface of the Earth from various objects in the solar system. You can answer the following series of questions using Newton's Law of Gravity; use the units given and the Gravitational Constant, G = 6.67 ×10-11 m3/kg/s2.
In: Physics
Problem 6 (Inference via Bayes’ Rule)
Suppose we are given a coin with an unknown head probability θ ∈
{0.3,0.5,0.7}. In order to infer the value θ, we experiment with
the coin and consider Bayesian inference as follows: Define events
A1 = {θ = 0.3}, A2 = {θ = 0.5}, A3 = {θ = 0.7}. Since initially we
have no further information about θ, we simply consider the prior
probability assignment to be P(A1) = P(A2) = P(A3) = 1/3.
(a) Suppose we toss the coin once and observe a head (for ease of
notation, we define the event B = {the first toss is a head}). What
is the posterior probability P(A1|B)? How about P(A2|B) and
P(A3|B)? (Hint: use the Bayes’ rule)
(b) Suppose we toss the coin for 10 times and observe HHTHHHTHHH
(for ease of notation, we define the event C = {HHTHHHTHHH}).
Moreover, all the tosses are known to be independent. What is the
posterior probability P(A1|C), P(A2|C), and P(A3|C)? Given the
experimental results, what is the most probable value for θ?
(c) Given the same setting as (b), suppose we instead choose to use
a different prior probability assignment P(A1) = 2/5,P(A2) =
2/5,P(A3) = 1/5. What is the posterior probabilities P(A1|C),
P(A2|C), and P(A3|C)? Given the experimental results, what is the
most probable value for θ?
In: Math
The accompanying data set provides the closing prices for four stocks and the stock exchange over 12 days:
| Date | A | B | C | D | Stock Exchange |
| 9/3/10 | 127.37 | 18.34 | 21.03 | 15.51 | 10432.45 |
| 9/7/10 | 127.15 | 18.18 | 20.44 | 15.51 |
10334.67 |
| 9/8/10 | 124.92 | 17.88 | 20.57 | 15.82 | 10468.41 |
| 9/9/10 | 127.35 | 17.95 | 20.52 | 16.02 | 10498.61 |
| 9/10/10 | 128.37 | 17.82 | 20.42 | 15.98 | 10563.84 |
| 9/13/10 | 128.36 | 18.64 | 21.16 | 16.21 | 10616.07 |
| 9/14/10 | 128.61 | 18.83 | 21.29 | 16.22 | 10565.83 |
| 9/15/10 | 130.17 | 18.79 | 21.69 | 16.25 | 10627.97 |
| 9/16/10 | 130.34 | 19.16 | 21.76 | 16.36 | 10595.39 |
| 9/17/10 | 129.37 | 18.82 | 21.69 | 16.26 | 10517.99 |
| 9/20/10 | 130.97 | 19.12 | 21.75 | 16.41 | 10661.11 |
| 9/21/10 | 131.16 | 19.02 | 21.55 | 16.57 | 10687.95 |
Using Excel's Data Analysis Exponential Smoothing tool, forecast each of the stock prices using simple exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.3.
For example, help me to understand how to complete the exponential smoothing forecast model for Stock A.
Date Forecast A
9/3/2010 ____
9/7/2010 ____
9/8/2010 ____
9/9/2010 ____
9/10/2010 ____
9/13/2010 ____
9/14/2010 ____
9/15/2010 ____
9/16/2010 ____
9/17/2010 ____
9/20/2010 ____
9/21/2010 ____
In: Math
The accompanying data set provides the closing prices for four stocks and the stock exchange over 12 days:
| Date | A | B | C | D | Stock Exchange |
| 9/3/10 | 127.37 | 18.34 | 21.03 | 15.51 | 10432.45 |
| 9/7/10 | 127.15 | 18.18 | 20.44 | 15.51 | 10334.67 |
| 9/8/10 | 124.92 | 17.88 | 20.57 | 15.82 | 10468.41 |
| 9/9/10 | 127.35 | 17.95 | 20.52 | 16.02 | 10498.61 |
| 9/10/10 | 128.37 | 17.82 | 20.42 | 15.98 | 10563.84 |
| 9/13/10 | 128.36 | 18.64 | 21.16 | 16.21 | 10616.07 |
| 9/14/10 | 128.61 | 18.83 | 21.29 | 16.22 | 10565.83 |
| 9/15/10 | 130.17 | 18.79 | 21.69 | 16.25 | 10627.97 |
| 9/16/10 | 130.34 | 19.16 | 21.76 | 16.36 | 10595.39 |
| 9/17/10 | 129.37 | 18.82 | 21.69 | 16.26 | 10517.99 |
| 9/20/10 | 130.97 | 19.12 | 21.75 | 16.41 | 10661.11 |
| 9/21/10 | 131.16 | 19.02 | 21.55 | 16.57 | 10687.95 |
With the help of the Excel Exponential Smoothing tool, I was able to forecast each of the stock prices using simple exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.3 (ie, damping factor of 0.7). I was also able to calculate the MAD of each of the stocks:
MAD of Stock A = 1.32
MAD of Stock B = 0.37
MAD of Stock C = 0.41
MAD of Stock D = 0.26
MAD of Stock Exchange = 83.85
Help me to calculate the Mean Square Error (MSE) of the stocks.
In: Math
In: Mechanical Engineering
I need Urgent on the correct way to solve this, step by step process. The answers are 7.62, 7.62,6.92,20% and 7.41. Please HELP!!!
Hula Enterprises is considering a new project to produce solar water heaters. The finance manager wishes to find an appropriate risk adjusted discount rate for the project. The (equity) beta of Hot Water, a firm currently producing solar water heaters, is 1.1. Hot Water has a debt to total value ratio of 0.3. The expected return on the market is 0.09, and the riskfree rate is 0.03. Suppose the corporate tax rate is 35 percent. Assume that debt is riskless throughout this problem. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 0.16)) a. The expected return on the unlevered equity (return on asset, R0) for the solar water heater project is__ %. b. If Hula is an equity financed firm, the weighted average cost of capital for the project is ___%. c. If Hula has a debt to equity ratio of 2, the weighted average cost of capital for the project is ___%. d. The finance manager believes that the solar water heater project can support 20 cents of debt for every dollar of asset value, i.e., the debt capacity is 20 cents for every dollar of asset value. Hence she is not sure that the debt to equity ratio of 2 used in the weighted average cost of capital calculation is valid. Based on her belief, the appropriate debt ratio to use is ___%. The weighted average cost of capital that you will arrive at with this capital structure is___ %.
In: Finance
Use the following information of a hypothetical economy to answer this question: National Income (Y) = 5,200; Government Budget Deficit = 150; Disposable Income (Yd) = 4,400; and Consumption (C) = 4,100. The value of Investment (I) is
Group of answer choices
A150
B260
C270
D280
Enone of the above
Suppose that the economy is characterized by the money demand function with nominal income $Y = 4000 and money supply . Which of the following is false?
Group of answer choices
A equilibrium money demand is 200
B the equilibrium interest rate is i = 0.025
C an increase in nominal income will increase the equilibrium interest rate
D an increase in the money supply will decrease the equilibrium interest rate
E the equilibrium interest rate i = 0 if central bank increases money supply to
Suppose the population of a country is 100 million people, of whom 50 million are working age. Of these 50 million, 20 million have jobs. Of the remainder: 10 million are actively searching for jobs; 10 million would like jobs but are not searching; and 10 million are discouraged workers. The labour force participation rate is
Group of answer choices
A 0.6
B 0.3
C 0.8
D 0.4
Assume the economy is initially operating at the natural level of output. Suppose that individuals decide to increase their saving. Which of the following must increase in both the short run and median run equilibria?
Group of answer choices
A output
B interest rate
C price level
D investment
E consumption
In: Economics
Due to tides mean sea level off of Newport Beach reaches a height of 1.3 meters during high
tide and 0.3 meters during low tide. Successive high tides occur every 12 hours (43,200
seconds). A buoy with mass m = 40 kg is floating in the ocean off of Newport Beach.
1) Relevant concepts/equations. (5 points.)
2) Assume we begin to measure the buoy’s displacement at High tide which occurs exactly
at 12:00 am (0 seconds). Also assume we can model the buoy’s displacement as a simple
undamped oscillation. What is the Amplitude and phase angle for the buoy’s
displacement? (10 points)
3) During one half cycle of six hours (21600 seconds), the buoy’s displacement passes
through an angle of 180 degrees. From this information, what is the angular frequency
ω of the buoy? (5 points)
4) Using your previous answer, what is the force constant ‘k’ acting on the buoy? (5 points)
5) What is the maximum velocity of the buoy? What is the maximum acceleration of the
buoy? (10 points)
6) What is the energy of the buoy due to tidal displacement? (5 points)
7) How much work is done during one low tide to high tide cycle? How much Power per
hour is required to accomplish this? (Assume g = 9.81 m/s^2 compare your answer to a
65W light bulb which uses 65 watts per hour). (10 points)
In: Physics
Exercise 1. Firm Supply in the Short Run
Consider a firm with the following production function: y=L½K½. The cost function is C=w∙L+r∙K.
In: Economics
Due to tides mean sea level off of Newport Beach reaches a height of 1.3 meters during high
tide and 0.3 meters during low tide. Successive high tides occur every 12 hours (43,200
seconds). A buoy with mass m = 40 kg is floating in the ocean off of Newport Beach.
1) Relevant concepts/equations. (5 points.)
2) Assume we begin to measure the buoy’s displacement at High tide which occurs exactly
at 12:00 am (0 seconds). Also assume we can model the buoy’s displacement as a simple
undamped oscillation. What is the amplitude and phase angle for the buoy’s
displacement? (10 points)
3) During one half cycle of six hours (21600 seconds), the buoy’s displacement passes
through an angle of 180 degrees. From this information, what is the angular frequency ω of the buoy? (5 points)
4) Using your previous answer, what is the force constant ‘k’ acting on the buoy? (5 points)
5) What is the maximum velocity of the buoy? What is the maximum acceleration of the
buoy? (10 points)
6) What is the energy of the buoy due to tidal displacement? (5 points)
7) How much work is done during one low tide to high tide cycle? How much Power per
hour is required to accomplish this? (Assume g= 9.81m/s^2 , compare your answer to a 65W light bulb which uses 65 watts per hour.)
In: Physics