Suppose that the United States economy is in deep recession.
(a) Imagine an aggregate demand and aggregate supply graph, would the equilibrium price level and real gross domestic product be below, above, or at full employment?
(b) There is a debate in Congress as to whether to decrease personal income taxes by a given amount or to increase government purchases by this amount. Which of these two fiscal policies will have a larger impact on real gross domestic product? Explain
(c) Explain how a decrease in personal income taxes will affect each of the following in the short run.
(i) Consumption
(ii) Real GDP and Price Level
(iii) Imports
(iv) Exports
(d) Explain the mechanism by which an increase in net investment will cause each of the following to change.
(i) Aggregate demand
(ii) Long-run aggregate supply
In: Economics
The mean cost of domestic airfares in the United States rose to an all-time high of $375 per ticket. Airfares were based on the total ticket value, which consisted of the price charged by the airlines plus any additional taxes and fees. Assume domestic airfares are normally distributed with a standard deviation of $100. Use Table 1 in Appendix B.
a. What is the probability that a domestic airfare is $540 or more (to 4 decimals)?
b. What is the probability that a domestic airfare is $265 or less (to 4 decimals)?
c. What if the probability that a domestic airfare is between $320 and $480 (to 4 decimals)?
d. What is the cost for the 5% highest domestic
airfares? (rounded to nearest dollar)
In: Statistics and Probability
USA Today reported that about 47% of the general consumer
population in the United States
is loyal to the automobile manufacturer of their choice. Suppose
Chevrolet did a study of a
random sample of 1006 Chevrolet owners and found that 490 said they
would buy another
Chevrolet. Does this indicate that the population proportion of
consumers loyal to Chevrolet is
more than 47%? Use 1% level of significance.
a. Identify the underlying distribution and state why.
b. State the null hypothesis.
c. State the alternative hypothesis.
d. Circle one: One Tail Test / Two Tail Test.
e. State the critical value for the hypothesis test.
f. Illustrate graphically the rejection region.
g. Compute the test statistic.
h. Find the p-value for the test statistic.
i. Give the significant statement for the hypothesis test: At the
________ level of significance,
there is ______________________ evidence to reject the null
hypothesis.
j. State the critical value for the estimation of the confidence
interval.
k. Construct a 99% confidence interval for the true proportion of
consumers who are loyal to
Chevrolet.
i. Margin of error:
ii. Confidence Interval:
l. Give the confidence statement for the confidence interval: I am
_________ confident that the
true ________________________ of consumers who are loyal to
Chevrolet is between
____________ and ______________.
In: Statistics and Probability
USA Today reported that about 47% of the general
consumer population in the United States is loyal to the automobile
manufacturer of their choice. Suppose Chevrolet did a study of a
random sample of 1009 Chevrolet owners and found that 483 said they
would buy another Chevrolet. Does this indicate that the population
proportion of consumers loyal to Chevrolet is more than 47%? Use
α = 0.01.(a) What is the level of significance?
State the null and alternate hypotheses.
H0: p = 0.47; H1: p ≠ 0.47H0: p = 0.47; H1: p > 0.47 H0: p = 0.47; H1: p < 0.47H0: p > 0.47; H1: p = 0.47
(b) What sampling distribution will you use?
The standard normal, since np < 5 and nq < 5.The Student's t, since np > 5 and nq > 5. The standard normal, since np > 5 and nq > 5.The Student's t, since np < 5 and nq < 5.
What is the value of the sample test statistic? (Round your answer
to two decimal places.)
(c) Find the P-value of the test statistic. (Round your
answer to four decimal places.)
In: Statistics and Probability
Consider the yearly data of lumber production (in billions of board feet) in the United States given as follows:
| year | production |
| 1921 | 29 |
| 1922 | 35.2 |
| 1923 | 41 |
| 1924 | 39.5 |
| 1925 | 41 |
| 1926 | 39.8 |
| 1927 | 37.3 |
| 1928 | 36.8 |
| 1929 | 38.7 |
| 1930 | 29.4 |
| 1931 | 20 |
| 1932 | 13.5 |
| 1933 | 17.2 |
| 1934 | 18.8 |
| 1935 | 22.9 |
| 1936 | 27.6 |
| 1937 | 29 |
| 1938 | 24.8 |
| 1939 | 28.8 |
| 1940 | 31.2 |
| 1941 | 36.5 |
| 1942 | 36.3 |
| 1943 | 34.3 |
| 1944 | 32.9 |
| 1945 | 28.1 |
| 1946 | 34.1 |
| 1947 | 35.4 |
| 1948 | 37 |
| 1949 | 32.2 |
| 1950 | 38 |
| 1951 | 37.2 |
| 1952 | 37.5 |
| 1953 | 36.7 |
| 1954 | 36.4 |
| 1955 | 37.4 |
| 1956 | 38.2 |
| 1957 | 32.9 |
| 1958 | 33.4 |
| 1959 | 37.2 |
| 1960 | 32.9 |
| 1961 | 32 |
| 1962 | 33.2 |
| 1963 | 34.7 |
| 1964 | 36.6 |
| 1965 | 36.8 |
| 1966 | 36.6 |
| 1967 | 34.7 |
| 1968 | 36.5 |
| 1969 | 35.8 |
| 1970 | 34.7 |
| 1971 | 37 |
| 1972 | 37.7 |
| 1973 | 38.6 |
| 1974 | 34.6 |
| 1975 | 32.6 |
| 1976 | 36.3 |
| 1977 | 39.4 |
| 1978 | 40.5 |
| 1979 | 40.6 |
| 1980 | 35.4 |
| 1981 | 31.7 |
| 1982 | 30 |
A. Perform necessary analysis to construct an appropriate model for the series and plot the forecasts for the next four years and calculate 95% forecast limits.
Please use RStudio, and also send codes and packages/libraries used, for me to use and review, Thank you!
In: Statistics and Probability
The annual per capita consumption of fresh bananas (in pounds) in the United States can be approximiated by the normal distribution, with a mean of 8.4 pounds and a standard deviation of 4 pounds. Answer the following questions about the specified normal distribution. (a) What is the smallest annual per capita consumption of bananas that can be in the top 10% of consumptions? (b) What is the largest annual per capita consumption of bananas that can be in the bottom 5% of consumption?
(a) The smallest annual per captita consumption of bananas that can be in the top 10% of consumptions is pounds. (Round to one decimal place as needed.)
(b) The largest annual per capita consumption of bananas that can be in the bottom 5% of consumptions is pounds. (Round to one decimal place as needed.)
In: Statistics and Probability
In the United States, males between the ages of 40 and 49 eat on average 105.1 g of fat every day with a standard deviation of 4.5 g ("What we eat," 2012). Assume that the amount of fat a person eats is normally distributed.
(a) State the random variable.
(b) Find the probability that a man age 40-49 in the U.S. eats more than 110 g of fat every day.
(c) Find the probability that a man age 40-49 in the U.S. eats less than 93 g of fat every day.
(d) Find the probability that a man age 40-49 in the U.S. eats between 65 g and 100 g of fat every day.
(e) If you found a man age 40-49 in the U.S. who says he eats less than 65 g of fat every day, would you believe him? Why or why not?
(f) What daily fat level do 95% of all men age 40-49 in the U.S. eat less than?
In: Statistics and Probability
Hair color in the United States is known to be 40% blond, 40% brown, and 20% black. Miranda does a study to see if the proportions match, and her survey showed 43 people with blond hair, 32 people with brown hair, and 15 with black hair. Use a chi-square test with a level of significance α=0.05.
In: Statistics and Probability
1. Suppose the poverty line in the United States was set according the following test: a household is poor if its income is less than $55,999 per year. Is this an absolute or relative definition of poverty?
Group of answer choices
absolute
relative
neither absolute nor relative
both absolute and relative
2. The poverty rate is
Group of answer choices
the proportion of the population above the annual income defined as poor by the federal government
capable of being equal to zero using a relative income test
the proportion of the population falling below the annual income defined as poor by the federal government
the number of people that fall below the annual income defined as poor by the federal government
3. Noncash assistance accounts for
Group of answer choices
the majority of welfare programs provided by the federal government
an equal amount of welfare programs provided by the federal government, when compared to cash assistance
a minority of welfare programs provided by the federal government
zero percent of welfare programs provided by the federal government
4. Suppose for a particular group of the population the equilibrium wage is $22 and the equilibrium number of workers employed is 60,000. Which of the following could be an impact of sudden discrimination against workers from that group of the population?
Group of answer choices
a new equilibrium number of workers employed of 80,000
a new equilibrium wage of $18
a new equilibrium number of workers employed of 180,000
a new equilibrium wage of $26
In: Economics
Rainier Corporation, a U.S.
corporation, manufactures and sells quidgets in the United States,
Europe and the Middle East. Rainier conducts its operations in
Europe and the Middle East through a German GmbH, which the company
elects to treat as a branch, i.e. DRE, for U.S. tax purposes.
Rainier also licenses the rights to manufacture quidgets to an
unrelated company in China. During the current year, Rainier paid
the following foreign taxes, translated into U.S. dollars at the
appropriate exchange rate:
National income taxes in Germany $1,500,000
City of Munich income taxes $ 200,000
Value added tax to German government $ 400,000
Payroll tax to the German government (employer’s share of
social insurance contributions) $ 300,000
Withholding tax on royalties received
from
China
$ 100,000
Saudi Arabian tax on what is actually a
royalty
$ 75,000
Yemen income
tax
$ 50,000
What amount of creditable foreign taxes does Rainier incur?
In: Accounting